We got a laugher between the Raiders and Chargers that resulted
in a 63-21 win for Las Vegas and the firing of Chargers HC Brandon
Staley.
With No Josh
Jacobs (quad), Zamir
White got the most run playing 70.3% of the snaps. Ameer
Abdullah (26.6%) handled backup duties and Brandon
Bolden (3.1%) managed to find the endzone despite playing
just 2 snaps. White handled 20 touches and even got 4 targets.
He’s a solid RB2 when Jacobs is out. Raiders are @KC and @IND
the next two weeks.
Davante Adams (81.2%), Jakobi Meyers (87.5%) and Tre Tucker (45.3%)
all scored for the Raiders who left Adams in long enough to get
him 100 yds. Adams led the group with a 23.1% target share.
TE Michael Mayer (64.1%) also found the endzone on 5 targets.
Being down 42-0 at halftime led to a lot of work for Isaiah Spiller
(36.9%) who finished with 16 carries. Austin Ekeler (40.0%) only
got 9 touches with the game completely out of hand. Joshua Kelley
(23.1%) is now third string.
No Keenan Allen in this game but Josh Palmer (72.3%) returned
and got a loose for a big play (79-yard TD) which is going to
look good in the fantasy box score. Quentin Johnston (92.3%) was
a full-time player and should continue to be so as the Chargers
play out the string. Alex Erickson (55.4%) and Jalen Guyton (49.2%)
are along for the ride but aren’t fantasy worthy.
The Vikings leaned on Ty Chandler (80.9%) with Alexander Mattison
on the shelf. Chandler handled 26 touches while Kene Nwangwu (10.3%)
had just 1 carry. This is encouraging usage for Week 16 if Mattison
remains out.
Justin Jefferson was on the field for 95.6% of the snaps and
had a 31.3% target share but it was Jordan Addison (91.2%) who
lit up the scoreboard with a 6-111-2 line. K.J. Osborn (54.4%)
filled the No.3 WR role.
Joe Mixon (70.0%) played significantly more snaps than Chase Brown (53.8%) but only out-touched him 13 to 10. Brown is going
to be a viable flex option down the stretch.
Ja'Marr Chase
(71.4%) left this game early with a shoulder injury and will have
an MRI on Monday. Tee
Higgins (87.1%) and Tyler
Boyd (57.1%) would become the focus of the passing game is
Chase misses Week 16. Higgins had a 20% target share and managed
to find the endzone twice while catching just half of his 8 targets.
PIT @ IND
Offensive Snaps Steelers: 58
Colts: 67
Najee Harris (34.5%) and Jaylen Warren (69.0%) were the only
two running backs to touch the ball in the Steelers 30-13 loss
to the Colts. 12 touches for Najee while 15 for Warren. It’s
clear the Steelers prefer Warren in negative game-script.
Diontae Johnson (86.2%) scored the Steelers only TD. George Pickens
(93.1%) led the receivers with a 26.9% target share.
Since his blow-up game in Week 12, Pat Freiermuth (75.9%) has
just 3 catches in each of his last three games.
The Colts got hit with the injury bug in this game including
Zack Moss (28.4%) who left early with an arm injury. After he
left, Trey Sermon (43.3%) and Tyler Goodson (57.9%) split the
work and both were effective. The two combined for 28 carries
and 167 rushing yards.
Michael Pittman Jr. (31.3%) was off to a hot start (4-78-0) but
left due to a concussion. D.J. Montgomery (62.7%) stepped in alongside
Josh Downs (58.2%) and Alec Pierce (97.0%) and saw a 14.8% target
share. Montgomery isn’t likely to be a fantasy option even
if Pittman misses Week 16.
The Broncos couldn’t get anything going on the ground against
the Lions. Javonte Williams (48.4%), Samaje Perine (39.1%) and
Jaleel McLaughlin (12.5%) were in their typical roles. Williams
led the group with 14 touches.
Jerry Jeudy (62.5%) made a 40-yard catch and led the team with
7 targets. Courtland Sutton (93.8%) finished with a 5-71-0 line.
The Lions beatdown of the Broncos included a huge game from Jahmyr Gibbs (48.5%) while David Montgomery (51.5%) pitched with 17 carries
for 85 yards. Gibbs exploded for a 11-100-1 rushing and 2-8-1
receiving.
The passing game flowed through Amon-Ra
St. Brown (92.4%) and TE Sam
LaPorta (95.5%). LaPorta scored 3 times. ARSB had a 28.1%
target share and posted a 7-112-1 line. Jameson
Williams (68.2%) had a 21.9% target share and finished 4-47-0.
We’ve yet to see a breakout game from him but two games against
Minnesota and sandwiched around a game against Dallas offers opportunity.
KC @ NE
Offensive Snaps Chiefs: 65
Patriots: 53
With Pacheco out, the Chiefs stuck with Clyde Edwards-Helaire
(61.5%) and Jerick McKinnon (33.8%) as their running backs. McKinnon
got a TD pass in a trick play around the goaline. 17 touches for
CEH in a positive game-script for the Chiefs.
TE Travis Kelce (76.9%) hurt is elbow in this game. The guy has
been banged up most of the season and looks old out there.
The Patriots allowed Kevin Harris (13.2%) to get some playing
time at RB this week and he found the endzone. This is still Ezekiel Elliott’s (86.8%) “show” however.
TE Hunter Henry (71.7%) was the focus of the passing gameplan.
He led all Patriots receivers with a 23.7% target share.
NYJ @ MIA
Offensive Snaps Jets: 58
Dolphins: 61
The Jets got shutout in a dismal display of offense. Breece Hall
(39.7%) only had 8 opportunities. Dalvin Cook (17.2%) and Israel Abanikanda (37.9%) also saw action.
Raheem Mostert (54.1%) is now up to an incredible 20 total TDs
on the season after two more in Week 15. He’s been a league-winner.
Devon Achane (39.3%) had 12 touches.
The fantasy playoffs were a bad time for Tyreek Hill (ankle)
decided to miss. Jaylen Waddle (67.2%) took a shot to the chest
early in the game but continued to play and led the team with
a 34.6% target share. Cedrick Wilson (77.0%) got extra playing
time with Hill out as did Braxton Berrios (39.3%) and Chosen Anderson
(37.7%).
CHI @ CLE
Offensive Snaps Bears: 73
Browns: 69
Roschon Johnson
(49.3%) led the Bears backfield this week but D'Onta
Foreman (26.0%) and Khalil
Herbert (23.3%) were still in the mix. Roschon had just 11
opportunities. Foreman had 6 carries for -6 yards. This isn’t
a backfield we can count on.
TE David Njoku (84.1%) was the star of the receiving show with
a 31.8% target share. He saw 14 targets and finished with a 10-104-1
line.
HOU @ TEN
Offensive Snaps Texans: 77
Titans: 63
Dameon Pierce (5.2%) played only 4 snaps and worked behind Dare Ogunbowale (19.5%). Safe to say he won’t have any fantasy
value unless Devin Singletary (75.3%) gets injured. Singletary
handled 30 touches in the absence of QB C.J. Stroud (concussion).
A rough day for Derrick Henry (54.0%) who has dominated the Texans
in the past. He posted 16 carries for 9 yards and 0 TDs. Yikes.
Tyjae Spears (52.4%) had 10 opportunities.
Rough day for Bijan Robinson (57.7%) who fumbled and got just
8 touches in the rain against Carolina. Tyler Allgeier (50.0%)
had 15 touches and the Falcons lost. Cordarrelle Patterson (26.9%)
got the lone TD of the game.
The Falcons used five tight ends, LOL. Kyle Pitts (65.4%) and
Jonnu Smith (32.7%) saw 6 combined targets.
Chuba Hubbard (72.7%) continues to dominate the backfield for
Carolina. Miles Sanders (27.3%) had 8 touches.
The tight WR rotation in Carolina includes Adam Thielen (95.5%),
Jonathan Mingo (90.9%) and D.J. Chark Jr. (74.2%). Thielen led
the group with a 30.4% target share.
TB @ GB
Offensive Snaps Buccaneers: 62
Packers: 60
Rachaad White (80.6%) and Chase Edmonds (19.4%) were the only
RBs to take a snap for the Bucs. White handled 23 touches and
finished with a 21-89-0, 2-50-1 line.
Back-to-back weeks with double-digit targets for Chris Godwin
(80.6%) who finished with a 10-155-0 line. Mike Evans (85.5%)
had 6 targets with a 4-57-1 line.
TE Cade Otton (90.3%) continues to be an every-down player but
only had 2 targets.
Aaron Jones (48.3%) returned to action but ended up splitting
time with Patrick Taylor (43.3%). Jones handled 17 touches while
Taylor had just 3. AJ Dillon (thumb) was inactive.
Jayden Reed (41.7%) had a 22.2% target share despite suffering
a toe injury. Romeo Doubs (90.0%) and Dontayvion Wicks (78.3%)
continue to work the most with Reed.
TE Tucker Kraft (95.0%) finished with a 4-57-1 line on 6 targets.
SF @ ARI
Offensive Snaps 49ers: 56
Cardinals: 74
A three-touchdown game for Christian McCaffrey (76.8%) who I
didn’t have enough of this season. He has 20 TDs on the
season. Jordan Mason (23.2%) worked as the No.2 RB with Elijah Mitchell out.
Deebo Samuel (84.7%) continues to produce on low volume (7 targets,
1 rush). Brandon Aiyuk (82.1%) and TE George Kittle (84.7%) took
a back seat this week on the 49ers’ offense this week. They
combined for 9 targets.
The Cardinals have a weak WR group as Marquise Brown (32.4%)
continues to try and play through his heel injury. He left early
in this one and could be on the shelf moving forward. Michael Wilson returned to play 87.8% of the snaps but had just 3 targets
and 0 receptions. Greg Dortch (64.9%) and Rondale Moore (63.5%)
are afterthoughts.
The star of the Arizona passing game continues to be TE Trey McBride (71.6%) who saw a 28.9% target share. He has at least
9 targets in four out of his last five games.
WAS @ LAR
Offensive Snaps Commanders: 60
Rams: 75
Sam Howell (73.3%) got benched in this game but is expected to
start Week 16.
With Brian Robinson Jr. out, the Commanders used Antonio Gibson
(45.0%) and Chris Rodriguez Jr. (33.3%). Rodriguez had 10 touches
(all carries) while Gibson had 9 touches that included 5 receptions.
This will be a split backfield as long as Robinson remains out.
Terry McLaurin
(85.0%) had his best fantasy day of the season (6-141-1) on a
35.3% target share. Curtis
Samuel (71.7%) had a 26.5% target share while Jahan
Dotson had just 1 target.
TE Logan Thomas (80.0%) has just 7 receiving yards in his last
two games.
Kyren Williams (77.3%) remains the workhorse for the Rams despite
two fumbles. He had 34 opportunities in this game! Royce Freeman
(22.7%) had six carries for 16 yards.
Tony Pollard (71.9%) and Rico Dowdle (26.3%) were in their normal
roles. 13 touches for Pollard.
CeeDee Lamb (100.0%) got a rushing TD late in the game and led
the WRs with a 31.3% target share. This was the only Dallas TD
of the game.
The Cowboys got stomped by the Bills running game and specifically
James Cook (55.9%) who handled 27 touches on his way to a 25-179-1,
2-42-1 line. Latavius Murray (20.6%) and Ty Johnson (29.4%) were
also in the mix.
Keaton Mitchell (35.7%) went down with a knee injury and will
miss the remainder of the season. Expect a usage bump for Gus Edwards (40.0%) as he should take more of the early-down work.
Justice Hill (25.7%) had six touches in this game and will also
see increased opportunities moving forward.
Zay Flowers (84.3%) continues to see a lot of playing time but
is very inconsistent with his production. He had just 2 targets
in this game. Odell Beckham Jr. (54.3%) and Rashod Bateman (44.3%)
are difficult to trust in this low volume passing attack.
Isaiah Likely (74.3%) continues to be a solid low-end TE1 option.
He had a 26.1% target share.
Too many turnovers for the Jaguars limited their offensive output.
Trevor Lawrence is in the concussion protocol.
Travis Etienne (69.4%) had 16 opportunities but just 59 yards.
He’s a middling RB2 these days.
Calvin Ridley (91.9%) led the Jaguars receivers with a 28.6%
target share while Zay Jones (61.3%) injured his hamstring late
in the game.
TE Evan Engram
(83.9%) had just a 14.3% target share leading to a 4-28-0 line.
PHI @ SEA
Offensive Snaps Eagles: 69
Seahawks: 61
The Eagles offense looked lethargic… perhaps due to Hurts’
sickness or something else.
As usual, D’Andre
Swift (59.4%) and Kenneth
Gainwell (40.6%) handled all of the running back duties for
the Eagles. The TV broadcast seemed to indicate the coaching staff
was looking to get Gainwell going but that never really materialized.
Swift handled 20 touches for 75 yards. He hasn’t scored since
Week 11.
WR snaps continue to be dominated by A.J. Brown (95.7%) and DeVonta Smith (95.7%). Brown had a 33.3% target share. Quez Watkins (52.2%)
and Julio Jones (31.9%) are situational players.
TE Dallas Goedert (84.1%) had a 30.0% target share but caught
just 4 passes for 30 yards on 9 targets.
Kenneth Walker (55.7%) dominated touches in this game 22 to 4
over Zach Charbonnet (44.3%). Walker has cracked 100 rushing yards
just once this season.
It took a while, but DK Metcalf (91.8%) finally got going in
the second half (5-78-0). Tyler Lockett (75.4%) led the receivers
with a 28.1% target share but caught just 3 passes for 21 yards.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (68.9%) caught the game-winning TD late in
the fourth quarter.
Seattle continues to use three tight ends: Noah Fant (62.3%),
Will Dissly (39.3%) and Colby Parkinson (34.4%). Fant can be considered
in a pinch but this is largely a situation to avoid.