The Eagles’ passing game hasn’t been electric this
season, but Dallas Goedert has quietly been one of the position’s
most reliable producers. He’s delivered double-digit PPR
points in all four games he’s played, scoring four touchdowns
over his last three outings. In Week 5, he turned nine targets
-- a season high -- into three catches for 19 yards and a score,
further cementing his role as Hurts’ most trusted pass catcher.
At a thin position, Goedert remains an elite TE1.
Rumors of frustration from Smith and A.J. Brown continue to swirl,
but Smith finally broke out in Week 5 with season highs in targets
(10), receptions (8), and yards (114). That came in a pass-heavy
game script during the Eagles’ first loss of the year.
This matchup with the Giants may not demand the same volume.
If Philadelphia jumps out to an early lead, expect the offense
to lean more on Barkley and the ground game, capping Smith’s
target range around 5–8 looks. He’s a solid WR2/Flex
option, but his ceiling is tied to whether the Giants can keep
pace.
Few early-round picks have frustrated fantasy managers more than
A.J. Brown. Despite seeing 8+ targets in four straight games,
he’s produced just one double-digit fantasy performance
all season. With the Eagles already throwing a season-high 38
passes in Week 5, it’s unlikely his opportunities increase
much from here -- it’s about efficiency now, not volume.
The silver lining: this is a get-right matchup. The Giants have
allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing WRs, getting
burned by the likes of CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and Deebo
Samuel. If Brown can’t produce here, it might finally be time
to consider benching him until further notice.
PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29
Rookie Cam Skattebo has emerged as the clear lead back with Tyrone
Tracy Jr. sidelined, posting 90+ scrimmage yards in three straight
games. Tracy is expected to return in some capacity, but Skattebo’s
recent play should keep him heavily involved. With the Giants
likely playing from behind, he should see plenty of touches against
an Eagles defense that’s allowing the eighth-most fantasy
points to RBs. Skattebo’s dual-threat usage makes him a
strong RB2/Flex option.
Tight end remains a weekly headache for fantasy managers, but
Theo Johnson has become a legitimate streaming option. He’s
found the end zone three times over the past two games since Malik
Nabers went down, and has seen 12 targets during that stretch.
His low aDOT keeps his floor modest, but he’s carving out
a red-zone role and offers top-12 upside at the position in a
tough week for tight ends.
With Darius Slayton sidelined, Robinson should see more opportunities
-- but his role doesn’t inspire much upside. He’s
averaged just six targets per game over the last two weeks, working
primarily underneath in an offense that may not attempt more than
30 passes. The Eagles’ defense has been beaten on the perimeter
rather than over the middle, further limiting Robinson’s
ceiling. He’s only viable in deep PPR leagues where volume
stability is the priority over upside.
J.K. Dobbins has been the picture of reliability in 2025, posting
double-digit PPR points in all five games and averaging 14.5 per
contest. He’s handled 15.4 carries for 80.4 rushing yards
per game, scoring a touchdown in four of five. While he’s
not a major factor through the air (1.2 catches per game), his
red zone usage more than makes up for it.
The Jets’ run defense has been solid but not imposing, allowing
at least 13.9 PPR points to every opposing RB1 this season --
including big outings from James Cook and Javonte Williams. With
Denver likely to lean on its ground game in what projects as a
lower-scoring contest, Dobbins profiles as a high-floor RB2 with
RB1 upside.
Bo Nix sits just outside QB1 range through five weeks, averaging
20.6 fantasy points with eight passing touchdowns distributed
across multiple weapons. His rushing hasn’t popped, but
it’s been steady -- at least 18 yards in four of five games
and a single rushing TD -- giving him a dependable weekly floor.
This week’s matchup is intriguing: the Jets have allowed
214 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per game while failing to record
an interception so far. That lack of forced turnovers gives Nix
a clean path to efficiency, though his ceiling still depends on
connecting on a couple of deep balls.
He’s a borderline QB1 that most managers can confidently
roll out, though higher-upside streaming options could be tempting
if available.
RJ Harvey’s breakout buzz cooled quickly in Week 5 as he
managed just 30 total yards on 7 touches with no scores. While
this week’s game script could be friendlier -- the Jets
aren’t an elite offense and Denver could control the pace
-- the matchup isn’t actually favorable for secondary backs.
New York has allowed production almost exclusively to opposing
lead backs, with no RB2 topping 25 rushing yards against them.
They’ve also limited RB receiving work, giving up no more
than four catches to any back this year.
Harvey might mix in on passing downs, but his path to meaningful
fantasy output is too thin to trust. He’s best left on benches
outside of deep desperation plays.
DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24
Breece Hall has been on a heater, averaging 97 rushing yards
and 4 receptions per game over his last two contests. His three
straight games with at least four catches highlight a true dual-threat
role, boosted by Justin Fields’ mobility -- which forces defenses
to hesitate and creates lanes.
Even against a Broncos defense that ranks top-10 in limiting
RB production, Hall’s volume and versatility make him a
locked-in RB1.
Justin Fields has been a top-tier fantasy option when healthy,
delivering three productive outings this season. His rushing remains
the engine of his value, but Week 5 offered a glimpse of growth
through the air -- 283 passing yards and 2 touchdowns against
Dallas. Granted, the Cowboys have allowed practically every quarterback
to embarrass them, but it’s at least a good sign that he’s
capable of producing in good matchups.
Denver presents a much stiffer challenge. The Broncos rank as
the third-toughest defense for opposing QBs, giving up 280+ passing
yards in three games but holding Cam Ward and Jake Browning to
just 110 and 125 yards. Fields’ rushing gives him a strong floor,
but this could be one of those lower-output weeks that come with
the territory.
He’s still a must-start in most formats, but expectations
should be tempered.
Kyler Murray has been the definition of “solid but unspectacular”
in 2025 — ranking squarely in the middle of the pack among
quarterbacks in both real-life and fantasy production. He’s
averaging 192 passing yards, 1.2 passing TDs, and 34.6 rushing
yards per game, with a single rushing score on the season. The
Colts’ defense has been red-hot with 14 sacks, eight turnovers,
and a defensive TD, but this matchup sets up favorably for Murray
to rack up volume with the Cardinals likely playing from behind.
The Arizona run game is up against it here -- the Colts have
allowed just 80.8 rushing yards per game and two total rushing
TDs against a talented slate of backs (Achane, Pollard, Kyren,
Dobbins, Jeanty). That points to a pass-heavy approach, which
means both Trey McBride and Marvin Harrison Jr. could be leaned
on heavily. Keep an eye on Murray’s status, though -- he’s missed
the first two practices of the week with a foot issue. If he can’t
go, Jacoby Brissett would step in.
Harrison remains a bit of an enigma. Inconsistent QB play, target
competition from a top-tier tight end, and a vanilla offensive
scheme have capped his weekly ceiling. The Colts have limited
opposing WRs this season outside of blow-up games from Nacua and
Troy Franklin, but with game script in his favor, Harrison should
push past his usual 6.4 targets. Eight looks and a strong chance
at a touchdown are realistic expectations here.
McBride continues to be a target hog, averaging 8.4 targets per
game and matching Harrison’s 12.5 fantasy points per contest.
He currently sits at TE4 and draws a defense that hasn’t faced
a TE of his caliber yet. The Colts’ soft TE numbers are misleading,
padded by matchups with Tanner Connor, Julian Hill, Tyler Higbee,
Colby Parkinson, and others. Given Arizona’s RB situation, McBride
could be in for a career fantasy day -- he’s a strong start in
all formats and a premium DFS play.
Carter jumped straight from the practice squad into a starting
role last week and delivered: 18 carries for 51 yards and a TD,
plus five receptions for 22 yards. His 18.3-point outburst helped
a lot of fantasy managers survive the start of bye weeks, but
replicating that against the Colts’ front will be tough.
He’s a volume-based Flex this week, not a slam-dunk starter.
Demercado flashed with 81 yards on three carries last week…
and then had the worst moment of his football life with a costly
fumble. HC Jonathan Gannon said Demercado won’t be punished
but can we trust him? I’ll simply fade, not give him a late
hit.
ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13
Daniel Jones has been one of 2025’s quiet fantasy surprises,
currently sitting as QB8 overall. With three rushing TDs and a
tidy 6:2 TD-to-INT ratio, he’s averaging 22.4 fantasy points
per game -- a far cry from being undrafted in many leagues. Indy’s
offensive line has been stellar, allowing just four sacks through
five games, and defenses have to respect Jonathan Taylor (RB2
overall), which opens up everything else.
Pittman has benefited the most from the QB switch to Jones. He’s
averaging seven catchable targets per game and ranks as WR14 with
15.5 fantasy points per contest, including four touchdowns. Like
the Cardinals, the Colts’ passing attack features a clear
alpha WR, a star tight end, and a supporting cast. Pittman’s
consistency makes him a locked-in starter, and his draft-day value
has been a huge win for fantasy managers.
Between Pittman and Warren eating up targets, there isn’t
much left for the rest of the receiving corps. Downs has managed
27 targets, 20 catches, and 175 yards with no scores this season,
averaging just 7.5 fantasy points per game. He’ll have the
occasional spike week, but he’s too unreliable in this matchup.
Stafford has been dialed in the past two games, passing for a
combined 764 yards to go along with a half-dozen touchdowns and
no interceptions. On the strength of that, the veteran currently
leads in the NFL in passing yards (1,503) and is second in TDs
(11). He looks well positioned to continue his recent run of success
this Sunday. Only Dallas has allowed more passing yards this year
than Baltimore (262.6 per game), and the Ravens have given up
an NFL-high 13 touchdown passes. They attempted to bolster their
banged-up secondary this week -- acquiring Alohi Gilman in a trade
and signing veteran C.J. Gardner-Johnson -- but those moves may
amount to putting a band-aid on a bullet wound. Stafford has high-end
QB1 value in Week 6.
Los Angeles is one of those teams with three well-defined skill
position players atop the food chain, creating a scenario where
all of them carry weekly value while no one else has much, if
any. The lone exception might be Corum, who had 44 yards in Week
2, 53 yards in Week 3, and then a season-high 11 touches in Week
4. That momentum ground to a halt last Thursday, though, when
Corum fumbled, leading to a turnover, and dropped an easy pass.
He ended the game with one carry for 13 yards. Had that not happened,
he might hold some value as a flex as the Rams certainly have
the ability to put the Ravens down and get some work to their
backup RB. It did happen, though, and that creates too much uncertainty
unless you’re desperate.
LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14
Let’s start with the usual disclaimer: as of this writing, there’s
been no firm update about Jackson’s status for Week 6. Initial
reports suggested the former MVP would miss 2-3 games with the
injury, so we’ll assume he’ll be replaced once again by Cooper
Rush this Sunday. Rush struggled mightily with the Texans last
week, and while LA isn’t quite on that level defensively, they’re
typically a stout group. Plus, after seeing their game plan of
letting Mac Jones throw underneath coverage all night last Thursday,
the Rams are likely to be more aggressive here. Andrews (2-22-0)
didn’t do much last week, but the logic of valuing him as a low-end
TE1 remains sound. Rush, who threw three picks versus Houston,
will want to be careful with the football, and that should mean
lots of short and intermediate routes, which is where Andrews
excels.
Right up front, we’re talking about a desperation play.
Two weeks ago, Hill racked up 112 yards and two touchdowns. Last
week, he managed 12 yards. If you want to go back even further,
Hill posted minus-11 yards in Week 1. The point being, his production
has been all over the map, and low numbers are the more likely
outcome. Still, there’s a chance he could produce based
on two factors: 1) he’s the pass-catching back, so he falls
under the same safe outlet umbrella as Andrews, and 2) he’d
get snaps if the game gets out of hand as the team won’t
want to heap touches on Henry. There’s nothing safe about
Hill, but if you need someone with a path to upside as your flex,
he could serve in that capacity.
With first-time starter Dillon Gabriel under center, it was Njoku
that emerged as the primary read. The tight end led the Browns
in targets (9), receptions (6), and receiving yards (67) in Week
5 while scoring on one of the rookie’s two TD strikes -- as it
happens, the other went to fellow tight end Harold Fannin Jr.
(4-13-1). While obviously it came with a different quarterback
under center, the last time Njoku faced the Steelers was on Dec.
8, 2024, when he put up a 7-42-1 line, so he’s had recent success
in this matchup. The Steelers have a capable pass rush and have
thrived on forcing turnovers in their last two games, so look
for the Browns to keep things as simple and safe for Gabriel as
they can, which should mean more Njoku in Week 6.
Tasked with making his first start in London at a unique start
time and going against a Vikings defense capable of making things
miserable on inexperienced QBs (just ask Jake Browning), Gabriel
performed admirably. The numbers weren’t great as he passed
for only 190 yards with a pair of touchdowns, but he took just
two sacks and didn’t turn the ball over. He encounters another
aggressive defense in Week 6, and he’ll face some new challenges
this week as well. The Steelers will have the advantage of game
film, which Minnesota did not, and Cleveland will travel from
London to Pittsburgh to face an opponent on the road coming off
a Bye. That’s a lot for anyone to overcome, so it’s
best to keep Gabriel away from your lineup.
CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21
With Warren bothered by a knee injury in Week 4, the Steelers
turned to Gainwell to carry the load. He overdelivered. The former
Eagle ran 19 times for 99 yards and two touchdowns, and he added
35 yards on six receptions as well. Warren’s expected return
certainly undercuts Gainwell’s value, but he’s gotten
a decent amount of work most weeks (he averaged 7.7 touches/game
from Weeks 1-3), and his performance in Dublin might lead to him
seeing a few more snaps going forward, even with Warren back.
You could consider Gainwell as a possible flex.
In Week 1, Rodgers passed for 244 yards and four touchdowns.
In three games since, he’s averaged 181 yards, 1.33 TDs,
and 1 INT. Heading into a divisional showdown with Cleveland,
expect the future Hall-of-Famer to be limited in what he’s
asked to do. The Browns have a dangerous defensive line, and the
idea of Pittsburgh exposing their 41-year-old quarterback to a
bunch of hits doesn’t sound like something they’d
do. This feels like a game where the Steelers will play it conservative,
believing the Browns can’t do enough with their rookie quarterback
to win unless Pittsburgh delivers some self-inflicted wounds.
Expect modest numbers for Rodgers and keep him on your bench.
Darnold is completing 73.1% of his passes this season and is
averaging 9.3 yards per attempt which leads all quarterbacks.
He’s coming off a 341-4-0 performance in Week 5 against
the Bucs where he as the QB2. The problem is, he’s not throwing
enough and offers almost zero rushing upside. Darnold’s
134 attempts ranks 21st in the league and his 38 rushing yards
is 27th among QBs.
The Jags-D has lived off turnovers (10 INTs) but have given up
the 5th most fantasy points to quarterback through five games
including two 300-yard passing games (Purdy, Mahomes). I don’t
think Darnold cracks the top five at the position this week, but
the Seahawks being a slight underdog helps his case to be a low-end
QB1 option.
The Seahawks are splitting the work between Walker and Charbonnet,
alternating series between the two backs. Walker has been more
efficient with his touches, but Charbonnet continues to get most
of the work near the goaline. This means both players have a limited
ceiling and while Walker is tantalizing given his play-making
ability, he needs to break a long rung in order to score. He also
has minimal usage in the passing game to date (7-58-0).
The Jags are middle of the pack against the position and haven’t
allowed more than 57 rushing yards to any one running back (Chuba
Hubbard). I’d be inclined to start Walker as a mid-range
RB2 and Charbonnet in the flex, but temper expectations.
Fade: N/A
SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4
Lawrence is coming off his best fantasy game of the season, largely
due to his work on the ground. His 10-54-2 line as a rusher against
the Chiefs propelled him to a QB2 finish for the week. Prior to
last week’s game he’s had rushing totals of 12, 4,
9, and 7 and his highest fantasy finish was QB10 in Week 2.
Etienne had his first real hiccup of the season last week against
KC, rushing for under 50 yards but was still operating as the
lead back, handling 16 of 20 running back touches. Hovering in
the 16-20 touch range means you need to be efficient and find
the endzone in order to pay off high-end RB2, RB1 production.
The matchup here is neutral so deploying Etienne as you typically
would is justified.
BTJ hasn’t lived up to his draft cost yet, but we did catch
of glimpse of his promise last week when he hooked up with Lawrence
for a 33-yard connection late in the game. His 80 receiving yards
were the most he’s had in a game this season, while he’s
still searching for his first receiving TD.
Seattle was missing a number of key pieces on defense last week
against the Bucs, including DBs Julian Love and Devon Witherspoon.
Now, CB Tariq Woolen is dealing with a concussion and may not
play. If they continue to be depleted in Week 6, that should breathe
some life into the Jags passing game, raising the floors or Lawrence
and BTJ.
The Jags lost starter Brenton Strange to a hip injury in Week
5 and has since been placed on IR. Long worked as the main tight
end in Strange’s absence but has been much of a receiving option
in his career. With Strange out, the Jags are likely to involve
more or their secondary receiver options (Travis Hunter, Dyami
Brown) than Long. You’ll be rolling the dice with him a low-upside
TE2.
Keenan Allen has been a model of reliability in 2025, catching
at least five passes and seeing seven or more targets in every
game. He’s averaged 5.8 receptions, 57.8 yards, and three
touchdowns through five weeks -- steady WR2/3 production that
has flirted with WR1 value.
This week brings a tougher test: Miami’s secondary has allowed
just 53 receptions for 614 yards and four TDs to opposing wideouts.
Still, with Quentin Johnston potentially limited or sidelined,
Allen’s target share could climb into double digits. His slot-heavy
role lines up favorably against the Dolphins’ coverage tendencies.
Lock him in as a high-floor WR2 with sneaky top-12 upside in
full PPR formats.
Justin Herbert opened 2025 on fire -- averaging 275 yards and
two TDs through three games -- before cooling off with just 333
yards and two scores combined in his last two. His 30.6 rushing
yards per game have quietly buoyed his floor, and with Omarion
Hampton out, the offense could lean even more on Herbert’s
arm.
Miami’s defense is a prime matchup for quarterbacks, allowing
the fourth-most fantasy points to the position so far this season.
The absence of Johnston would lower his ceiling a bit, but Herbert
should have more than enough volume to produce.
Consider him a low-end QB1 / high-end QB2, capable of bouncing
back in this spot.
With rookie Omarion Hampton on IR, the Chargers backfield has
morphed into a committee with Hassan Haskins and Kimani Vidal
splitting snaps. Neither has separated, and the workload distribution
is murky at best -- they split 28 snaps evenly last week.
It’s assumed that Haskins will get the first crack at being the
team’s primary back, but there’s no guarantee that he’s going
to see enough touches to be a high-quality fantasy option. Fellow
running back Kimani Vidal has played primarily on passing downs,
but could see an increased role both on passing downs and in early-down
situations. That uncertainty makes this a tough situation to trust.
Unless you’re in a truly desperate spot, fade this backfield until
there’s more clarity.
LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27
Darren Waller has caught fire since returning in Week 4, scoring
three touchdowns on eight receptions (nine targets) for 105 yards
over two games. With Tyreek Hill out for the year, Waller has
become the focal point of Miami’s passing attack, particularly
in the red zone.
The Chargers have been strong against opposing tight ends, but
Waller’s elite role and a potential pass-heavy game script
give him top-five TE upside this week.
With Tyreek Hill sidelined, Jaylen Waddle saw a season-high nine
targets in Week 5, turning them into 6/110/1 -- easily his best
performance of the year. It’s just one game, but it was
a clear sign the Dolphins are ready to feature him more heavily.
He’s not a locked-in WR2 yet, but Waddle has firm flex
appeal with upside in a matchup where Miami may need to keep pace.
Another game in this role would cement him as a weekly starter
going forward.
Tua Tagovailoa has thrown multiple touchdowns in four straight
games, including a three-score outing against Carolina, but he
still sits at QB18 on the season. Without Tyreek Hill, his upside
is capped, and he’s failed to hit 180 passing yards in three
of five games.
The Chargers have been stingy against opposing QBs, allowing
just four passing touchdowns total -- tied for second-fewest in
the league. Tua’s limited rushing and increased volatility
make him a risky play. He’s more of a QB2 / emergency streamer
in Week 6.
Dak Prescott has been red-hot, posting back-to-back 30+ fantasy
point performances. In Week 4’s wild 40-40 tie with the Packers,
Prescott threw 40 times (Jordan Love matched with 43). Then in
Week 5, he needed just 18 completions to throw for four touchdowns.
And he’s done it all without CeeDee Lamb. That kind of production
locks him in as a fantasy starter, no matter the matchup. Carolina
is holding opposing QBs to just 18.8 fantasy points per game,
but even if they slow him a bit, Prescott is too hot to bench.
The George Pickens trade is looking like a masterstroke for Dallas.
With five touchdowns through five games and 17.7 fantasy points
per game (tied for WR8), Pickens has seamlessly stepped into a
featured role. His targets have ranged from 4 to 11 weekly, but
regardless of volume, the production follows. He’s a set-and-forget
WR2 with WR1 upside in this matchup.
My draft board sure didn’t have Javonte Williams as fantasy’s
RB3 or Jake Ferguson as the TE1 (by a bunch, following his 23.9
outburst against the struggling Jets). Cowboy up!
Ryan Flournoy was an unknown name outside of Texas (and Southeast
Missouri State University) a week ago. That changed when he torched
the Jets for 6 catches and 114 yards with Lamb and Turpin sidelined.
His breakout came in the perfect storm of opportunity -- Turpin
(foot) and Lamb (ankle) both out, and Tolbert barely involved.
Turpin is expected back this week, and Tolbert should rebound
somewhat, but Flournoy earned more looks. He’s a deep-league
flex option with some intrigue.
Tolbert had been quietly building momentum early in the year
-- 1, 2, 3, and 4 catches through the first four games -- before
falling off completely in Week 5. Ferguson, Pickens, Javonte Williams,
and Flournoy dominated targets, and with Turpin returning and
Lamb nearing a comeback before the Week 10 bye, Tolbert is once
again on the outside looking in. He can be left on benches or
waiver wires.
DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19
Rico Dowdle reminded everyone how valuable a good handcuff can
be. Filling in for an injured Chuba Hubbard in Week 5, Dowdle
exploded for 32.4 fantasy points -- rushing 23 times for 206 yards
and a TD and adding 28 receiving yards on 3 catches. Before dismissing
it as a fluke against Miami, note that Dallas has actually allowed
more fantasy points to opposing RBs than the Dolphins this season.
In a “revenge game” against his former team, Dowdle is a locked-in
RB2 with RB1 upside if Hubbard remains sidelined.
Hubbard managers face a triple whammy: (1) he’s still nursing
a calf injury, (2) Dowdle just went nuclear, and (3) Dowdle faces
his old team this week. Even after missing Week 5, Hubbard sits
at RB26, but his workload could easily be cut in half if he’s
active. Dowdle’s Week 5 performance makes it hard to see
Hubbard returning to his old usage right away. He’s a risky
flex if he plays, with a lower floor than usual.
Sanders is practicing again after a high ankle sprain but hasn’t
played since Week 3. Meanwhile, Tremble and Evans have split minimal
work -- neither seeing consistent targets. Even if Sanders returns,
this TE situation is too murky to touch. There’s no clear
starter, no bankable volume, and no reason to roster a Carolina
TE this week.
I wish I could buy stock in Hunter Henry this week. Oh wait…
daily contests and prop bets exist. Henry has quietly posted a
strong 28/17/250/3 line through five games, averaging 12.0 FPts/game.
He now faces a Saints defense that’s allowing 16.1 FPts/game
to opposing tight ends.
With the Patriots’ backfield plagued by fumbles, injuries,
and more fumbles, it wouldn’t be a surprise if OC Josh McDaniels
dials up Henry’s number more often than usual. I’m
more bullish than most -- projecting around 84 yards and a touchdown.
If the Saints keep things close, Maye-to-Henry could be the Week
6 stack that gives fantasy managers the edge.
Stefon Diggs’ comeback from a torn ACL has been impressive, and
his chemistry with Drake Maye continues to grow. But he’ll likely
see some coverage from Alontae Taylor this week, and New Orleans
has allowed only 51 receptions and 5 touchdowns to WRs through
five games. He’s still a solid WR2, just temper expectations a
bit.
Kayshon Boutte remains the “best of the rest” in
this receiver group, but with Diggs healthy, Boutte’s 2.6
receptions per game don’t move the needle. He belongs on
waivers in most formats.
The Patriots’ backfield has been a fantasy black hole.
Last week’s carry split tells the story: Henderson (6),
Gibson (6), Stevenson (7). Targets: 2, 1, and 2. That’s
pure fantasy fugly.
With Gibson now done for the year (ACL), Henderson and Stevenson
should see a slight bump (maybe 9–11 carries each), but neither
has inspired confidence. Henderson can’t stay on the field on
passing downs, and Stevenson continues to fumble away opportunities
-- literally. Terrell Jennings is the next man up, but don’t expect
a savior here. Maybe Hunter Henry should take some reps at RB.
NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7
Answer: Death, taxes, and Alvin Kamara giving you at least 18
fantasy points every weekend. Question: Name three things that
are certain.
Kamara’s no longer the unstoppable fantasy monster of old,
but he remains a steady RB2 with RB3 floor. His 12.0 FPts/game
through five weeks reflects an aging back adjusting to a new coaching
staff and a new quarterback. His backup, Kendre Miller, is quietly
eating into his rushing share -- 10 carries last week to Kamara’s
8 -- and finally flashing in the passing game too (4 catches on
4 targets).
New England’s defense is fifth-best against the run, but
they’re coming off an emotional upset over Buffalo and a
slightly shorter week on the road. Kamara and Miller should still
find opportunities here.
Olave (WR21) and Shaheed (WR22) are both outperforming their
ADPs. Olave’s 54 targets are massive, though his 61.1% catch
rate (33 receptions) leaves room to grow. This feels like a good
spot for touchdown No. 2 on the year.
Shaheed has been the big-play weapon, catching 73.3% of his targets
with two scores. His weekly fantasy production has been volatile
(ranging from 8.2 to 21.4 points), but he benefits from defenses
focusing on Olave. New England has allowed just 11.4 receptions
and 1.2 touchdowns per game to WRs, so both receivers have WR2/Flex
appeal with varying floors.
Spencer Rattler has protected the ball well -- just one INT through
five games -- but at 17.2 FPts/game, he’s a low-upside streamer
at best.
Juwan Johnson briefly bailed out George Kittle managers earlier
this season (guilty), but with Hill and Moreau returning, the
Saints’ tight end situation is once again murky and diluted. There’s
no reason to roster a Saints TE in Week 6.
Tony Pollard dominated the Tennessee backfield in Tyjae Spears’
return, logging 73% of snaps and handling 17 touches en route
to 15.3 fantasy points -- good for an RB14 finish. Spears will
likely carve out a bigger share in the coming weeks, but Pollard
remains the lead back and gets a juicy matchup against a Raiders
defense that’s already allowed seven rushing touchdowns to opposing
RBs. He’s a strong high-end Flex for Week 6.
Calvin Ridley finally delivered the kind of performance fantasy
managers were waiting for: 10 targets, 5 receptions, 131 yards.
The volume is especially encouraging as Cam Ward continues to
settle in, and Ridley’s role as the clear WR1 appears secure.
But with that said, we’ve seen flashes from Ridley before
without consistent follow-through. The ceiling is back in play,
but the floor is still fragile, making him a boom/bust Flex this
week against a Raiders defense that’s allowed the 4th-most
fantasy points to WRs.
Cam Ward set a career-high with 265 passing yards in Week 5,
but once again failed to throw a touchdown. Through five games,
he’s totaled just two passing scores, has no rushing touchdowns,
and has thrown interceptions in three straight contests. The rookie
is still showing flashes, but the Titans’ offensive design
caps his fantasy ceiling. He’s a QB3, not a streamer.
Tyjae Spears, meanwhile, saw just 25% of the snaps and touched
the ball four times in his return from injury. His role should
gradually increase, but in its current state this backfield isn’t
big enough to support both backs. He’s an easy sit until
further notice.
TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23
Jakobi Meyers has drawn a team-leading 39 targets through five
weeks, offering a steady floor even as Geno Smith struggles. Smith’s
46.9 passer rating when targeting Meyers has capped the ceiling,
but the usage is rock solid -- at least five fantasy points in
every game and strong red-zone potential. Against Tennessee, Meyers
is a fringe WR2 with WR1 upside if Geno settles in.
Brock Bowers is officially “week-to-week” and hasn’t
practiced, making another absence likely. If he’s active,
you’re starting him without question. If he sits, Michael
Mayer is expected back from his concussion and could be an emergency
fill-in for your roster.
Bowers’ availability also impacts Tre Tucker, who saw six
targets (his third-highest total of the year) in Week 5 and turned
them into 4 catches for 62 yards. If Bowers is out again, Tucker
slides in as a high-end WR4 with sneaky Flex appeal against a
Titans defense that’s struggled with speed receivers.
To say Geno Smith’s Raiders debut has been rocky is putting
it mildly. Nine interceptions in five games is brutal, and the
offense has sputtered with him under center. Things might improve
once Bowers returns, but right now he’s not playable outside
of deep Superflex formats. Sit him.
I sure didn’t have “Mac Jones averaging 23.4 FPts/game” on my
2025 bingo card. But after taking over for the injured Brock Purdy,
Jones has rattled off three straight wins and elevated everyone
around him. Jennings was limited in practice Thursday with shoulder
and ankle injuries and has only managed 9 total receptions in
limited action this season. If he’s active, he could see a hefty
target share against the Buccaneers -- especially if Ricky Pearsall
(knee) sits again. If both Jennings and Pearsall are out, Kendrick
Bourne becomes a must-start.
And then there’s Jake Tonges. In 2022, he had one lonely
target as a Bear. After two years of practice squad limbo, he’s
suddenly TE8 on the season with a 27/19/166/3 line and touchdowns
in back-to-back games. Even when George Kittle returns, Tonges
might be worth stashing with six teams on bye in Week 8. He’s
sneaky-flex material.
Last week against the Rams, with Jennings and Pearsall sidelined,
Bourne erupted for 11 targets, 10 catches, and 142 yards. It’s
no wonder he’s one of the most-added players in fantasy
this week. If Pearsall sits, Bourne is a solid start against a
middle-of-the-pack Tampa Bay secondary. If both Pearsall and Jennings
are out, he’s a lineup lock. The game total sits at 47.5
points — a nice setup for fantasy.
Pearsall’s recovery from a strained PCL has him trending
doubtful. With Bourne stepping up last week, the 49ers have no
reason to rush him back. Even if active, he’d likely play
behind CMC, Bourne, Tonges, and possibly Jennings. Love the talent,
but loathe the situation. Bench him and let him heal.
SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16
With Bucky Irving still sidelined (shoulder/ankle), White has
shown he’s not just a handcuff -- he’s a legit RB1 when given
the workload. Against a decent Seahawks defense, he racked up
23.1 fantasy points (14/41/2 rushing, 4/4/30 receiving). He’d
probably start for at least eight other teams, and this week he
gets a 49ers defense surrendering 21.9 FPts/game to opposing RBs.
One of these weeks, this injury-depleted San Francisco team is
going to get blown out. Tampa at home might just be the one to
do it -- and White will be a big reason why.
Godwin’s return has been quiet -- two straight games with identical
3-catch, 26-yard lines (5.6 FPts each). Now he’s nursing a fibula
issue and missing practice. This game likely has playoff implications,
but I don’t see Godwin playing/contributing much, if at
all.
Veteran Sterling Shepard has stepped up when Evans or Godwin
have been banged up, quietly posting WR45 numbers (24/17/191/1).
If Godwin is out, Shepard is capable of giving you a modest 4–6
receptions -- not flashy, but serviceable in deeper leagues.
Tucker is the definition of a big-play dart throw, but with Irving
out in Week 5, he produced a brutal -1 yard on 6 touches (3 carries
for 3 yards, 3 catches for -4). He’s not playable this week.
This is Rachaad White’s backfield.
Exit Jake Browning. Enter Joe Flacco. Time will tell if that’s
to Cincinnati’s advantage. For now, at least, it injects an element
of hope for Higgins, who caught a combined seven passes for 69
yards and a score in three full games with Browning at the helm.
We’ve seen Flacco deliver a shot in the arm for other clubs in
recent years, that includes three games of 270-plus yards and
multiple TDs while with the Colts in 2024, though there was basically
none of that with Cleveland. Granted, the Browns can’t match Cincinnati
in terms of receiving talent, but players like Jerry Jeudy and
David Njoku aren’t exactly stiffs, either. It’s all up in the
air right now, and expecting Flacco to execute the offense less
than a week after being acquired is a tall ask. Still, if you’re
feeling optimistic you could roll with Higgins as your WR3.
Through five games, the Bengals haven’t opened many holes
for Brown, who is averaging just 2.5 yards per carry and 5.3 yards
per catch. His lone touchdown came on the season’s opening
drive. He’s also traveling to Green Bay, where the Packers
locked down the rushing attacks of both the Lions (22 carries,
46 yards) and Commanders (19 carries, 51 yards). None of that
inspires much confidence. It looks like Green Bay will be without
Devonte Wyatt (knee), however, and his absence in the middle of
the defense could be problematic. The Packers also had issues
with both Quinshon Judkins and Javonte Williams before their Bye.
It’s enough to consider Brown for your flex spot.
Fade: N/A
CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1
With Green Bay’s defense starting their Bye early, it fell
to Love to keep the Packers from an upset loss in Dallas. He did
what he could. The third-year starter passed for 337 yards and
three touchdowns, marking his third game with multiple TD throws
this year. On the other side, Cincinnati has been a wreck. They’ve
dropped their last two road games by a combined score of 76-13,
and in their last three overall opposing QBs have thrown seven
TD passes with just one INT. Also working to the Packers advantage,
it appears that they’ll get Zach Tom and Aaron Banks, their
two highest paid offensive linemen, back from injury for the first
time since Week 1. There’s a lot to like about Love here,
and he could be used as a low-end QB1.
In his last two games, Golden has posted 4-52-0 and 5-58-0 lines.
You wouldn’t consider those breakout performances, but they
represent a step in the right direction. He’s also been
targeted in key spots. The rookie made a fourth-down catch to
extend the game in Dallas, and Love looked his way on the final
offensive snap in overtime. The Bye should allow some tweaks and
further implementation of the first-round pick as he continues
to adjust to the NFL game. Remember, Golden drew rave reviews
from beat writers for his work during the preseason, which prompted
some to suggest he could win the Offensive Rookie of the Year
award. While Emeka Egbuka seems well on his way to hoisting that
hardware, Golden could still emerge as a top threat for the Packers.
He could be an interesting flier as a WR3.
It’s a tall task for any defense to slow down either of
the Lions’ backfield workhorses, and David Montgomery added
a new wrinkle last week by throwing a 3-yard touchdown pass. Kansas
City hasn’t been as stout against the run this season, allowing
4.9 yards per carry. Montgomery remains a rock-solid RB2, with
upside if Detroit controls the game script.
The Chiefs defense has been a rollercoaster against opposing
QBs. They’ve held three quarterbacks -- including Jalen
Hurts and Lamar Jackson -- under 15 fantasy points, but also gave
up 28+ to two others. Last week, Trevor Lawrence dropped 30.2
FPts, including two rushing scores. Kansas City has especially
struggled with mobile quarterbacks in the red zone, allowing three
rushing TDs to the position -- and mobility isn’t exactly
Jared Goff’s strength.
The Chiefs have also given up just 5 passing touchdowns all season,
with a stingy 10.1 yards per completion. Still, Goff’s 75%
completion rate and deep supporting cast keep him in play as a
borderline QB1, albeit with a lower floor than usual.
Sam LaPorta faces a tougher hill to climb. While he’s caught
at least three passes in every game this season, the Chiefs have
allowed only one opposing tight end to top two receptions. That
puts LaPorta in back-end TE1 territory this week.
Jameson Williams continues to flash elite explosiveness -- 20.3
YPC and 10.6 YPT -- but he’s averaging just 4.2 targets
per game despite playing nearly 90% of snaps. His low volume makes
him a classic boom/bust Flex against a Chiefs secondary that’s
largely contained big plays in 2025.
Fade: N/A
DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20
Xavier Worthy has seen 17 targets and 3 rush attempts over the
last two games since returning, and his speed has completely changed
the geometry of the Chiefs offense. He’s in a prime WR2
spot against a Lions defense that’s already surrendered
seven touchdowns to opposing WRs.
Worthy has missed the first two practices this week -- likely
for maintenance -- but his status needs monitoring. There’s
some mid-game risk here, but his ceiling is too high to ignore
in what projects as a high-scoring matchup.
Tyquan Thornton has been the vertical spark behind Worthy, averaging
a league-best 20.9 YPC with 3 touchdowns. He’s a boom/bust
Flex with slightly more upside than Jameson Williams on the other
sideline. If Worthy were to sit, Thornton would leap into high-end
Flex territory.
Travis Kelce benefitted in Week 5 from the deep speed of Worthy
and Thornton clearing space underneath, scoring 14 fantasy points.
But the Lions have held every tight end but one under 30 yards
this season, and Detroit’s athletic linebackers could make
things difficult.
Kelce remains an iffy TE1, but his outlook is slightly dependent
on how much defensive attention shifts toward the outside receivers.
Marquise Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster could also siphon away
some targets based on the matchup.
The Chiefs backfield is back in familiar territory: touchdown
or bust. Kareem Hunt continues to dominate goal-line work (3 rushing
TDs to Pacheco’s 0), and without passing-game involvement, Pacheco
carries too low a ceiling to trust this week. He’s a clear sit.
Cook posted his first dud in Week 5 (15-49-0), failing to reach
the endzone for the first time this season. Otherwise, he’s
been a fantasy force and currently ranks 4th among running backs
in half-PPR leagues. There are some slight concerns with his usage
in the passing game (2.8 tgts per) but he’s been so dynamic
as a runner, it hasn’t mattered. Atlanta’s early play
on defense has been somewhat of a surprise and they’ve only
given up 2 touchdowns to RBs in four games. The Bills rush offense
and specifically Cook, will be their best test yet. Pass this,
and we’ll definitely have to respect the matchup moving
forward.
The Falcons-D faced the Bucs in Week 1 and held Baker to just
167 yards passing but did give up 3 passing TDs. Since then, they’ve
faced J.J. McCarthy, Bryce Young and Marcus Mariota – not exactly
murder’s row at the position. So, we have some reasonable expectation
that Kincaid and Shakir can have solid games here.
Kincaid isn’t getting peppered with targets (4.8 per game)
but he has scored three times which is a big win at the tight
end position. Just know, he’s overperforming his expectation
and relying on TDs is a recipe for fantasy disappointment.
Shakir’s high-water mark in yardage is 69. He’s other
three games have seen him at 45 yards or below. His two scores
keep him in the WR3 or Flex conversation each week and there’s
nothing eye-popping in this matchup to suggest otherwise. However,
if Atlanta continues to run their main zone scheme, we could expect
and extra target or two for Shakir.
Fade: N/A
BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31
London has just one 100-yard game and 1 TD to start the season
but has a 28.2% target share and is T-17th in total targets among
WRs despite already having a bye week. We expect some volatility
with London as Michael Penix Jr. gets more experience but London’s
role as the No.1 option in the passing game is secure. The Bills
have allowed fantasy finishes of 1st (Flowers), 60th (G. Wilson),
18th (Tyreek), 30th (Olave) and 4th (Diggs) to No.1 wideouts this
season.
Our brief four-game glimpse of Pitts to start the season has
been encouraging. His 18.3%, target share ranks 9th among tight
ends and his 205 receiving yards is good for 11th at the position.
That’s good enough for low-end TE1 consideration on a weekly
basis. With Mooney iffy to play (see below), Pitts should move
up the pecking order for targets behind London and Bijan. The
Bills have been stingy against the position to start the season
(11-113-1) so there is cause for concern, but not enough to suggest
Pitts should be avoided on Monday night.
Mooney picked up a hamstring injury in Week 4 prior to Atlanta’s
bye in Week 5, and then missed practice on Thursday -- not a great
sign that he’s going to suit up this week. The Falcons don’t
play until Monday, so follow reports on his status over the weekend.
Even if he does play, he’s going to be difficult to trust
given he has just 7 catches for 79 yards and zero TDs in three
games this season.
Caleb Williams, coming off a bye, has quietly produced like a
top-tier fantasy quarterback, ranking as QB5 in fantasy points
per game. He’s averaging 231.8 passing yards and two touchdowns
per contest, and he’s also added at least five carries per
game for 27.5 yards, giving him a reliable rushing floor.
The Commanders have struggled to contain opposing quarterbacks,
allowing 21.8 fantasy points per game to the position. That defensive
vulnerability, combined with Williams’ dual-threat profile,
makes him a strong bet for another productive outing. He’s
a low-to-mid QB1 in this matchup.
D’Andre Swift’s 2025 season has been defined by consistency
without flash. He hasn’t produced a true “boom”
week, but he’s also avoided any disasters. Even in favorable
game scripts, like the Cowboys blowout, he’s hovered in
the solid-but-unspectacular flex range.
The usage remains encouraging: Swift has logged 15+ touches in
every game, firmly cementing him as Chicago’s lead back.
Unfortunately, Monday night brings a tough on-paper matchup against
a Washington defense that’s allowed fewer than 85 rushing
yards to every backfield they’ve faced, despite a brutal
slate that’s included Jeanty, Jacobs, Bijan, and Hampton.
Swift should have the volume to deliver a serviceable floor,
but expectations need to be tempered. Think low-end RB2 or flex
play.
Despite Chicago’s offensive leap, D.J. Moore has taken
a clear backseat to Rome Odunze. He’s seen just 21 targets
through four games, converting that into 16 catches for 173 yards
and one touchdown. He’s hit double-digit fantasy points
only once this season.
A date with Washington -- who’s allowed top-10 WR production
-- might look appealing, but Moore’s volume simply hasn’t
been there. Until that changes, it’s hard to trust him in
fantasy lineups. Moore belongs on benches in most leagues unless
his role suddenly expands.
CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17
Deebo Samuel has thrived since arriving in Washington, silencing
any concerns about his fit in the offense. Through five weeks,
he’s caught 30 passes for 300 yards and three touchdowns,
adding eight carries for 55 yards as a runner. He’s logged
at least six targets in all but one game, including two double-digit
target outings.
Samuel’s versatile usage makes him a set-and-forget WR2 with
WR1 upside, especially in what projects to be a high-scoring Monday
night matchup. If Terry McLaurin remains sidelined, Deebo’s target
share could climb even higher.
Rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt finally separated himself from
Washington’s committee in Week 5, playing around 50% of
the snaps and outproducing the rest of the backfield by a wide
margin (14 carries, 111 yards, 2 TDs).
Now he gets a juicy matchup against a Bears defense that’s
already surrendered six total TDs to running backs in three games
and is allowing over 170 total yards per game to the position.
Croskey-Merritt is trending up and should be in starting lineups
as a strong RB2 with upside.
McLaurin has missed two straight games and hasn’t practiced
this week as of Thursday. While the extra day gives him a chance
to suit up Monday night, relying on a questionable player in a
prime-time game can be a fantasy trap.
Even if he’s active, there’s risk of a limited snap
count, which could leave managers with little to no pivot options.
Unless you have a Monday night replacement ready, it’s safer
to avoid this situation entirely and start someone earlier in
the weekend.
