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Favorites & Fades


Week 5

By: Nick Caron | HC Green | John Fessel | Mike Krueger
Updated: 10/5/25

Thursday:

SF @ LAR


Sunday Early:

MIN @ CLE | DAL @ NYJ | DEN @ PHI | HOU @ BAL

NYG @ NO | LV @ IND | MIA @ CAR


Sunday Late:

TB @ SEA | TEN @ ARI | WAS @ LAC | DET @ CIN

NE @ BUF

Monday:

KC @ JAC

Notes:
- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Injury notes, Lines and Totals updated Sunday morning

49ers @ Rams - (Fessel)
Line: LAR -8.5
Total: 45.5

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: RB Christian McCaffrey

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WR Kendrick Bourne

With Ricky Pearsall (knee) and Jauan Jennings (ankle/rib) sidelined, along with Brandon Aiyuk and TE George Kittle, Kendrick Bourne suddenly finds himself as San Francisco’s top healthy receiving option outside of Christian McCaffrey.

Bourne has never topped 800 yards in a season during his nine-year career, and he’s averaging just 4.3 targets per game in 2025. Still, necessity could drive increased involvement against the Rams. The ceiling is low -- he’s best viewed as a WR4 -- but bye-week managers in deeper formats might find him serviceable.

Fade: QB Mac Jones

With Brock Purdy (toe) out, Mac Jones inherits a depleted supporting cast missing four of its top five weapons. That’s a brutal setup against a Rams defense that’s held three of four opposing quarterbacks under 15 fantasy points. Even with volume, Jones’ efficiency outlook is poor, leaving him in the QB2/3 range and best left on benches.

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

No Brainers: WR Puka Nacua, RB Kyren Williams

Favorites: WR Davante Adams

The 49ers have stifled wide receivers, holding all but one opponent wideout under 60 yards and allowing just two WR touchdowns across four games. Davante Adams hasn’t exactly been lighting it up either -- he’s topped 60 yards once, with most of his fantasy appeal tied to three trips to the end zone.

That said, the Rams should control field position against a banged-up 49ers squad, which increases Adams’ red-zone outlook. He remains a volume-driven WR2 with scoring upside, even in a difficult matchup.

On the Fence: RB Blake Corum

Rookie Blake Corum logged a career-high 11 touches in Week 4 and has averaged 9.5 touches across the past two games. Efficiency hasn’t been the problem (5.2 YPC) -- it’s opportunity. Against a 49ers team the Rams could overwhelm, Corum has a path to expanded work late, making him an intriguing deep-league flex with upside if game script tilts heavily in L.A.’s favor.

Fade: QB Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford erupted for 375 yards and three touchdowns against the Colts, but that outing stands in stark contrast to his quieter lines versus Houston (13.6 fantasy points) and Philadelphia (15.8). San Francisco has been similarly stingy, allowing no more than 207 passing yards in a game and giving up the 4th-fewest FPts/G to quarterbacks.

With the Rams positioned to lean on their ground game and defense, Stafford projects as a back-end QB2 and a fade in most fantasy lineups.

Prediction: Rams 27, 49ers 16 ^ Top

Vikings @ Browns - (Green)
Line: MIN -3.5
Total: 35.5

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

No Brainers: RB Jordan Mason, WR Justin Jefferson

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: TE T.J. Hockenson

Despite the Vikings passing for 350 yards in Week 4, Hockenson collected four catches for 39 yards. After a month, he’s managed just 115 yards. Granted, most of that has come the past two weeks with Carson Wentz under center, but he’s hardly been lighting things up. Facing the Browns in Week 5, this screams conservative approach from the Vikings offensively after Wentz and company struggled for much of their loss to the Steelers. The announcement that Dillon Gabriel will start is likely to take that low-risk game plan to another level as Cleveland’s only real chance here would seem to be to have their defense take the ball away to set up the offense for easy points. Look for opportunities to be at a premium, but three things help Hockenson potentially carry top 10 appeal: 1) Cleveland’s run defense is exceptional, 2) short and intermediate routes are safer, and 3) tight end is a shallow position.

Fade: QB Carson Wentz / WR Jordan Addison

We’re going with a rare two-for-one in this week’s fade with Wentz and Addison serving as stand-ins for Minnesota’s passing game outside of Jefferson. While Wentz’s final numbers last week (350 yards, 2 TDs) look good, much of that came during a furious fourth quarter rally, and his shaky play for most of the three quarters had a lot to do with their deficit. The same applies to Addison, who had an 81-yard catch in the final few minutes; he had 33 yards the rest of the game. Stay clear of both players this Sunday in London.

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

No Brainers: RB Quinshon Judkins

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: TE David Njoku

As noted above, the Browns announced they’ve benched Joe Flacco and will be starting Gabriel this week. That’s tough duty regardless of matchup, but we’re just two weeks removed from watching the Vikings obliterate Jake Browning, who had a lot more reps under his belt than Gabriel, and also had Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins to throw to. Look for Cleveland to play conservatively as long as they can, which means getting the ball to Judkins and then also their tight end duo of Njoku and Harold Fannin Jr., in order to keep Minnesota’s pass rush from teeing off. Njoku hasn’t done a whole lot this year, and he’s not a safe selection, but you can see a path to TE1 value.

Fade: WR Jerry Jeudy

If there was one player that figured to benefit the most from having a veteran like Flacco under center, it was Jeudy. Just go back and look at what he did last year when Jameis Winston started. This time, it didn’t pan out, and Jeudy averaged just 46 yards without a touchdown through the first four weeks. The switch to Gabriel is unlikely to benefit Jeudy, at least in the short term, though as Cleveland’s No. 1 receiver it’s at least plausible that the young quarterback will focus on him more than Flacco did. That’s not a risk you’d want to take this Sunday, though, so keep Jeudy on your bench if you can.

Prediction: Vikings 24, Browns 12 ^ Top

Cowboys @ Jets - (Caron)
Line: DAL -1.5
Total: 48.5

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: RB Javonte Williams

Favorites: TE Jake Ferguson

CeeDee Lamb’s injury has caused the Cowboys’ passing game to funnel heavily toward Jake Ferguson. While George Pickens has stepped into the “splash play” role, Ferguson has been the underneath chain-mover -- and he’s thrived.

Through four games, Ferguson has a league-leading 39 targets and 30 catches among TEs, sitting as the overall TE1 in PPR. That level of volume isn’t sustainable long-term, but even a modest step back keeps him in elite company. Dallas continues to lean pass-heavy, and Ferguson should maintain high single-digit targets weekly.

The Jets gave up two touchdowns to Darren Waller in Week 1, and while they’ve been steadier since, Ferguson’s role gives him both a strong floor and a higher-than-usual ceiling. He belongs locked into fantasy lineups.

On the Fence: WR George Pickens

Pickens broke out in Week 4 with a 134-yard, 2-TD performance on 8 catches, vaulting him into WR1 territory while Lamb remains sidelined. The talent and volume are both there, but this week poses unique challenges.

The Jets’ secondary, led by Sauce Gardner, is built to eliminate top weapons. With KaVontae Turpin (foot)) banged up and little WR depth behind him, Pickens will likely face heavy defensive attention, including bracket coverage. Volume should keep him viable, but efficiency could dip. He’s more of a volatile WR2 with upside this week than a locked-in WR1.

Fade: QB Dak Prescott

Prescott has been productive on a league-high 166 pass attempts through four weeks, but even that has only made him a fringe QB1. This week, he faces a Jets defense that’s held its own against names like Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers.

More concerning is game script: New York’s offense hasn’t consistently forced shootouts, which could cap Dak’s passing ceiling. Add in Dallas’ banged-up offensive line, and Prescott carries much higher volatility than usual. He’s not an automatic sit, but fantasy managers should temper expectations -- Dak’s closer to low-end QB1/high-end QB2 than a locked-in starter.

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

No Brainers: WR Garrett Wilson

Favorites: QB Justin Fields, RB Breece Hall

Justin Fields returned from injury in Week 4 and immediately got back on track with another QB1-level outing. In his two full games this year, he’s combined for over 200 passing yards in each contest, 129 rushing yards, and 3 rushing TDs -- all without a turnover. The Cowboys’ defense, which has allowed the most fantasy points to QBs in 2025, has been shredded by scrambles. Fields is a top-6 option this week.

With Braelon Allen now on IR, the backfield shifts firmly toward Breece Hall. He’ll still mix in some with Isaiah Davis, but this is Hall’s show. Dallas has surrendered the 6th-most points to RBs, including 23 receptions allowed to the position, making Hall an RB1 with both rushing and receiving upside.

On the Fence: TE Mason Taylor

The rookie TE finally flashed in Week 4, catching 5-of-7 targets for 65 yards. While Dallas has been middling versus tight ends, that’s largely because opposing WRs and RBs have feasted instead. With limited secondary weapons behind Wilson and Hall, Taylor could see steady work again. He’s not yet trustworthy as a weekly starter, but in deep leagues or TE-premium formats, he’s a viable upside dart.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Cowboys 24, Jets 21 ^ Top

Broncos @ Eagles - (Caron)
Line: PHI -4.5
Total: 44.5

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

No Brainers: RB J.K. Dobbins

Favorites: WR Courtland Sutton

Sutton is set up well against an Eagles secondary that’s been leaky versus wideouts. Through four games, Sutton has 18 catches on 27 targets for 266 yards and 2 TDs, including a Week 4 line of 5/81/1.

Philly has allowed 597 yards and 3 scores to WRs, and Bo Nix continues to funnel targets Sutton’s way in an offense ranking top-10 in total yards. With strong red-zone usage and an efficient 2.1 yards/route run, Sutton profiles as a must-start WR2 with WR1 upside in this matchup.

On the Fence: QB Bo Nix

Nix sits just outside QB1 territory through four weeks, showing flashes of efficiency but struggling for ceiling games. Vegas projects Denver for just 19.5 points, suggesting a run-heavy script and limited passing volume.

The Eagles’ pass defense has frustrated QBs all season, holding Dak Prescott, Matthew Stafford, and Baker Mayfield in check. Only Patrick Mahomes had success -- thanks to his rushing ability. Nix’s mobility offers a similar floor, but this is still a volatile spot. He’s a boom-or-bust QB2 with QB1 potential if his legs get going.

Fade: RB RJ Harvey

Harvey flashed in Week 4 (14 carries, 58 yards, 1 rec TD), but he remains firmly behind Dobbins. Philly has allowed just 97.3 rush yards/game, 2 rushing TDs to RBs and only Kyren Williams has topped 63 rushing yards against this defense individually.

If Denver trails, Harvey’s role shrinks quickly, leaving him as a risky, touchdown-dependent flex. Sit him in favor of backs with steadier workloads.

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

No Brainers: QB Jalen Hurts, RB Saquon Barkley

Favorites: TE Dallas Goedert

Goedert has been rock-solid despite missing Week 2, posting double-digit PPR points in every game played with 3 TDs on the year. He’s Philly’s steady chain-mover and red-zone target.

Denver has allowed 15 catches for 176 yards to TEs, struggling with names like Chig Okonkwo and Tyler Warren. With Philly likely leaning on time of possession, Goedert is a locked-in TE1 with top-8 upside.

On the Fence: WR A.J. Brown

Brown is coming off a frustrating Week 4 (2/7 on 9 targets) and has vented about his role. His post-game comments hinted at deeper frustrations, despite addressing it as "boiling over" emotions. The volume is there: 27 targets over his last 3 games so perhaps we get some positive regression soon.

The issue? Denver’s secondary, led by Patrick Surtain II, has been stingy -- just 508 yards and 1 TD allowed to WRs all year, with no one topping 90 yards. Brown’s ceiling remains high, but he’s at risk for another dud if Hurts can’t connect early. He’s a volatile WR2 with WR1 talent in a very tough matchup.

Fade: WR DeVonta Smith

Smith has yet to finish inside the weekly top-30 WRs in 2025, with just 158 yards and 1 TD on 20 targets. Philly’s run-first scheme has limited Jalen Hurts to under 160 passing yards in 3 of 4 games, making secondary receivers tough to trust.

Denver has blanketed opposing WRs (Chase, Higgins, McConkey all contained), with Keenan Allen the only wideout to find the end zone. Smith is a risky WR3 better left on benches in favor of higher-ceiling plays.

Prediction: Eagles 27, Broncos 23 ^ Top

Texans @ Ravens - (Green)
Line: HOU -1.5
Total: 40.5

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: WR Nico Collins

Favorites: QB C.J. Stroud

Houston recorded their first win last Sunday, overwhelming the Titans, 26-0. It also doubled as Stroud’s best game of the season, though the final numbers (233 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) were still pretty modest. It was a step in the right direction, however, and he has a good chance to take another step in Week 5 against a Ravens defense that has been decimated by injury, particularly to their secondary. On the year, only Dallas has allowed more passing yards than Baltimore (265.8 per game), and they just made the struggling Chiefs offense look like it was 2022 all over again. If you’ve been looking for a matchup to roll the dice on Stroud, this is it.

On the Fence: RB Woody Marks

Probably the most encouraging development for Houston’s offense last Sunday was the emergence of Marks, who had 17 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown, and then added 50 yards and another score on four receptions. That running game needed an infusion of athleticism, and it got it from Marks. Of course, those numbers came in a blowout win over the Titans, and the team may not fully trust the rookie in what’s expected to be a much closer affair with the Ravens. While the pass defense has gotten a lot of the criticism, don’t forget how Detroit was able to run all over Baltimore just two weeks ago. There’s genuine RB2 upside for Marks, though with such a limited sample size he’s better suited as an RB3 or flex.

Fade: RB Nick Chubb

Chubb hasn’t been bad as the de facto lead back to start the season, but his season highs in both rushing (60 yards in Week 1) and receiving (29 in Week 2) were topped by Marks last week alone. The 29-year-old is a steady veteran, but he hasn’t looked the same since suffering a grotesque leg injury in 2023. You never know how coaches view their options internally, so perhaps in Week 5 we see a split that still favors Chubb. Then again, maybe we don’t, and when the first four weeks have resulted in little fantasy value, you can’t view Chubb as more than a shaky flex play here.

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: RB Derrick Henry, WR Zay Flowers

Favorites: TE Mark Andrews

While the Ravens have yet to make anything official surrounding the status of Lamar Jackson (hamstring), reports have come out indicating the former MVP will miss between two and three weeks with his hamstring injury. That means we should see Cooper Rush make his first start in a Ravens uniform this Sunday, and that could lead to a lot of chances for Andrews, who was targeted a team-high eight times in Week 4 and finished with seven receptions. They only covered 30 yards, but that kind of volume involvement should be enough to put Andrews in play as a low-end TE1.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: QB Cooper Rush

Rush is no stranger to leading a team, having started 14 games during his time with the Cowboys, including eight a season ago. He even had a couple of games that fantasy owners would’ve been happy with. Don’t expect that this Sunday. The Texans rank seventh in pass defense, and they’re coming off a shutout win over Tennessee. Look for Baltimore to try to lean on Henry and the ground game while sprinkling in Rush for short and intermediate throws to guys like Andrews and Flowers, who has the versatility and elusiveness to contribute in quick-hitting passes. If done right, it’s a formula that should keep Baltimore in the game, but it’s unlikely to result in meaningful fantasy appeal.

Prediction: Texans 27, Ravens 23 ^ Top

Giants @ Saints - (Krueger)
Line: NO -1.5
Total: 41.5

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB Cam Skattebo

With Tyrone Tracy Jr. out of the lineup, Skattebo has worked as the lead back for the Giants with a 75% snap share in Week 4, handling 27 touches to Devin Singletary’s 7. That’s the kind of usage we like to see out of our starting running backs. There is some concern with his receiving production as running quarterbacks like Dart tend to avoid dump-offs to the backs -- Skattebo had two catches last week. The matchup against the Saints is favorable but the Giants’ RB feels more like a solid RB2 in a road game with a low implied team total of 19.5.

On the Fence: QB Jaxson Dart, WR Darius Slayton, Wan'Dale Robinson

Dart made his season debut last week and providing the rushing floor (10-54-1) we thought he had. His passing left a lot to be desired as he made quite a few rookie mistakes. He held the ball too long at times which resulted in unnecessary sacks and ended the day with just 5.5 yards per attempt. The loss of Malik Nabers is big blow to his fantasy outlook but there is some QB2 viability here given his ability as a runner. The Saints are near the bottom of the league in pressuring quarterbacks which is a welcome sign for the rookie and the passing game. I’m cautiously optimistic we could see some useful performances from Dart along with wideouts Slayton and Robinson (PPR leagues) as viable Flex options.

Fade: N/A

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB Alvin Kamara

Kamara has scored 1 TD on the season and currently sits as the RB25 in fantasy points per game. More concerning, he has just 13 catches for 49 yards (3.8 yards per catch) … the Saints simply aren’t calling enough pass plays for him. Kendre Miller is becoming a thorn in the side of Kamara as well. This past week, Miller played 31% of the snaps and handled 11 touches. The matchup for Kamara here is positive as the Giants have allowed solid games to Jacory Croskey-Merritt (10-82-1), Javonte Williams (18-97-1) and Omarion Hampton (12-128-1) so there’s room here for Kamara to have best game of the season. However, long-term there are significant issues for his fantasy outlook.

On the Fence: WR Chris Olave, TE Juwan Johnson

The Saints have topped out at 21 points this season and QB Spencer Rattler hasn’t thrown for more than 220 yards in any game, making it difficult to get excited about the fantasy prospects of anyone in this offense.

Everything looks good from a usage standpoint on Olave, he’s simple not connecting with Rattler. Olave (43) is 2nd only to Puka Nacua (50) in targets through four games and is 5th among all wide receivers with a 30.5% target share. When he does catch the ball, he’s averaging a minuscule 7.1 yards per catch. It’s exciting to see Olave has double-digit targets in 3 out of 4 games, but sooner or later these targets need to turn into production in the box score.

TE Juwan Johnson picked up an ankle injury last week and missed practice on Wednesday. In addition, tight ends Foster Moreau and Taysom Hill were back at practice and eligible to come off of IR. Johnson saw his targets dwindle to 3 last week after averaging 9.3 the previous three weeks. Assuming he plays, he’s a one of the better bets at a position that is scarce for viable options, but keep your eye out late in the week for news on his health and how much the guys returning from IR will be involved.

Fade: WR Rashid Shaheed

Shaheed has made numerous big plays in his career, just not this season. He’s averaging 9.7 yards per catch and has topped out at 52 yards, 1 TD (Wk2). He’s likely to get 5-to-7 targets in this game, but given what we’ve seen from this punchless offense, I can’t get on board recommending him as a Flex option.

Prediction: Giants 20, Saints 17 ^ Top

Raiders @ Colts - (Krueger)
Line: IND -7.5
Total: 48.5

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB Ashton Jeanty

Fresh off his breakout performance (21-138-1 rushing, 2-17-2 receiving) against the hapless Bears defense, Ashton Jeanty draws a much tougher matchup in Week 5 versus the Colts. Indianapolis has surrendered the 9th-fewest FPts/G to running backs, and Jeanty’s limited passing-game role remains a concern. Through four games, he’s seen just 8 targets for a total of 20 receiving yards -- not the kind of dual-threat usage that typically sustains RB1 production against strong run defenses.

Complicating matters, the Raiders will be without LT Kolton Miller (ankle), a key piece in keeping Jeanty’s running lanes open. Still, his locked-in volume gives him a safe floor and keeps him in the “Favorite” category, though fantasy managers should temper expectations.

On the Fence: WR Jakobi Meyers, TE Brock Bowers (knee)

Meyers has played 94.4% of the snaps this season -- 4th among all wideouts -- and he posted a 35% target share last week against the Bears but that resulted in 4-30-0 line and a WR55 finish. Geno is a volatile quarterback so you have to accept the good with the bad when it comes the Raiders passing game. The matchup here is positive for the Raiders pass catchers which includes the loss of DB Kenny Moore. Plus, game script should be favorable well into the 4th quarter. I’d lean towards the positive side of the fence for Meyers this week.

Bowers continues to wear a brace on his injured knee and doesn’t quite look right out there on the field, and has now missed practice time this week. He played 77 percent of the snaps last week and was out there for almost every passing attempt. Michael Mayer (concussion) could return and muddy the waters but the Colts-D isn’t something we need to avoid at the position. Assuming Bowers is able to suit up, I’d be cautiously optimistic we get a low-end TE1 performance from him this week.

Fade: N/A

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

No Brainers: RB Jonathan Taylor, TE Tyler Warren

Favorites: QB Daniel Jones, WR Michael Pittman Jr. (hamstring)

An early surprise, Daniel Jones has positioned himself as the QB7 heading into Week 5, helped along by three rushing TDs. It wasn’t a big surprise that he stumbled last week (262-1-2, QB24) against the stingy Rams-D, although Adonai Mitchell didn’t do him any favors. This week, the Raiders should allow plenty of the easy throws in the middle of the field when playing their base defense, allowing both Jones and Pittman to rack up stats.

Pittman leads the team with a 24% target share through four games and has already matched his TD total (3) from last season. He’s also being used more from the slot this season and shouldn’t have too much trouble posting a WR2 day against the Raiders who’ve allowed the 4th most fantasy points to wide receivers. Pittman was added to the injury report Thursday with a hamstring injury, getting in a limited practice so monitor his status throughout the weekend.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: WRs Josh Downs, Adonai Mitchell

We’ll probably see Alec Pierce back on the field as he missed Week 4 with a concussion. That doesn’t affect Downs much, as Pierce is more of a downfield threat, while Downs does his work in the short-to-intermediate parts of the field. Downs has a 16% target share heading into Week 5 but is only playing in three-wide receiver sets. He’s a volume-dependent receiver that needs the Colts to be pushed into more passing plays. That’s not likely to happen with Indianapolis favored by 6.5 points.

Prediction: Colts 27, Raiders 20 ^ Top

Dolphins @ Panthers - (Krueger)
Line: MIA- 1.5
Total: 43.5

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: RB De’Von Achane

Favorites: WR Jaylen Waddle

The loss of Tyreek Hill to an ugly knee injury is going to cause a ripple effect throughout the Miami offense. Waddle is going to move into the No.1 wideout role for the rest of the season and should command 7-10 targets every game making him easy WR2 option the rest of the way. This new role will be on display this week against the Panthers who have been stingy against the position but did just give up a 100-yard receiving day to Stefon Diggs. There’s no sticky cover-corner to be concerned about here so as long as Tua has the time (Carolina-D is last in sacks), Waddle should be in for a decent day.

On the Fence: WR Malik Washington

Washington should also see an elevated role in this Tyreek-less offense but he’s been more a gadget player to date, getting short area targets and a few rushing attempts per game. We’re expecting his role to be elevated but there is still a bit of an unknown here - perhaps tight end Darren Waller will see increased snaps and targets? Washington hasn’t topped 20 receiving yards this season and has been a non-fantasy factor thus far. The long-term outlook for Washington is bullish but I’d hesitate in putting him in my lineup this week until we getter a better idea of Mike McDaniel’s gameplan for the receiver room and the offense as a whole.

Fade: QB Tua Tagovailoa, TE Darren Waller

Tua has finished as the QB28, QB15, QB18 and QB19… with Tyreek in the lineup. Remove his top playmaker and it’s difficult to seem with QB1 upside even against a defense that’s struggled to rush the passer.

Waller’s two-TD performance in Week 4 was somewhat fluky as he played just 27.6% of the snaps and caught just three passes on 4 targets. We could reasonably assume a snap-rate increase as he ramps up into playing shape, but chasing the TDs seems like a rookie move.

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: WR Tetairoa McMillan

McMillan has seen at least 8 targets in every game this season and is sporting a healthy 15.4 yards per catch. Bryce Young simply needs to be better if McMillan is going to elevate his fantasy value. The two have missed on several deep throws and his low 51.4% catch rate is concerning. On the plus side, the Dolphins have allowed five wide receiver touchdowns through four games and McMillian has led the team in target share every game. WR2 value should be expected here with a some low-end WR1 appeal if he can find the endzone.

Update: Chuba Hubbard has been ruled Out.

On the Fence: RB Chuba Hubbard (calf), RB Rico Dowdle

Chuba missed practice Wednesday and Thursday with a calf issue that he dealt with in last week’s game and it showed. He played just 50.7% of the snaps, well below his normal usage. He’s yet to top 75 rushing yards in any game this season but he’s holding onto mid-range RB2 value thanks to two receiving TDs. If’s he’s removed from the injury report, then we can reasonably assume he will take advantage of a solid matchup against a Dolphins defense that’s allowed the 12-most fantasy points to running backs. If he's out, Rico Dowdle becomes a viable option in the same lead back role.

Fade: QB Bryce Young

Young posted a 328-3-1 line in Week 2 against Arizona, otherwise it’s been a bit ugly for the Panthers quarterback. His other three games have seen him throw for just 425 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs and 13 rushing yards combined. This kind of play is why he got benched last season. If you’re desperate due to the QB injuries, the matchup against the Dolphins doesn’t get much better, but I won’t be rolling on the dice on Young this week.

Prediction: Dolphins 24, Panthers 20 ^ Top

Bucs @ Seahawks - (Fessel)
Line: SEA -3.5
Total: 44.5

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: WR Emeka Egbuka

In his first game as a true defensive focal point, Emeka Egbuka delivered his best performance yet: 10 targets, 101 yards, and a score. The 101 yards were a career high, and his 5 touches tied his second-most in a game. This week he faces a Seattle secondary allowing the 2nd-fewest fantasy points to WRs, but no one has been able to slow him down so far. Egbuka remains a must-start WR2.

Update: Bucky Irving has been ruled Out.

On the Fence: QB Baker Mayfield, WR Chris Godwin, RB Bucky Irving (foot), RB Rachaad White, TE Cade Otton

Baker Mayfield has quietly been a QB1 through four weeks (9th in FPts/G, 20.3), but cracks are showing: a sub-60% completion rate, just 6.5 YPA, and leading the league in fumbles (again). His 8:1 TD-to-INT ratio and improved rushing (9.2 yards per attempt) have kept him afloat, but Seattle’s defense is a poor matchup. They allow just 6 YPA and already have 7 interceptions. Without Bucky Irving and Mike Evans, Mayfield drops to a high-end QB2.

Chris Godwin saw 10 targets in his return from injury, but only turned them into 3 catches for 26 yards. The volume is encouraging, but he may need time to shake off rust. Against a stingy Seahawks secondary, he’s best left as a back-end flex until the efficiency catches up.

Bucky Irving is normally a lineup lock, but he’s dealing with a foot injury and remains in a walking boot. If he can’t go, Rachaad White likely reclaims a heavy workload, particularly as the primary passing-down back. In that scenario, White would be a strong RB2 play, even if Sean Tucker mixes in.

Cade Otton has been quiet (6 catches on 11 targets all season), but sans Evans, he tied his season-highs in targets (4) and catches (3) last week. Seattle has allowed an 83% catch rate to opposing TEs and at least 8.1 fantasy points to five of them, making Otton a streaming option with TE1 upside for desperate managers.

Fade: N/A

TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

No Brainers: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Favorites: QB Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold gets a dream matchup against a Tampa defense that has given up 19.4+ fantasy points to 3 of 4 opposing QBs. Mobile quarterbacks in particular have hurt them (21+ rush yards allowed per game), even Michael Penix Jr. scrambled for 21 yards and a score.

Darnold has run just three times (38 yards), but has shown in the past he can add on the ground (200+ rushing yards in three seasons). With Tampa’s run defense likely stifling Kenneth Walker, Seattle may lean more on Darnold’s arm -- which has been sharp, as he leads the league in YPA (9.1). Consider him a high-end QB2 with sneaky QB1 upside.

On the Fence: RB Kenneth Walker

Walker out-touched Zach Charbonnet 20-14 in Charbonnet’s return, signaling a slight edge in this timeshare. Tampa’s defensive front, anchored by Vita Vea, is a tough assignment (2.9 YPC allowed). However, the Bucs have struggled against RBs in the passing game, giving up 19 receptions for a whopping 12.9 yards per catch.

While Darnold rarely targets RBs (just 9 passes to the backfield this season), 7 of those have gone Walker’s way. That gives him a path to flex value, even in a difficult matchup.

Fade: RB Zach Charbonnet

Charbonnet has been productive in spurts (double-digit fantasy points in 2 of his last 3), but his profile is run-heavy (39 carries, 2 catches) and he’s unlikely to succeed against Tampa’s elite run defense. With Walker getting the bigger slice of the pie, Charbonnet is a low-end RB3 at best.

Prediction: Seahawks 24, Buccaneers 20 ^ Top

Titans @ Cardinals - (Fessel)
Line: ARI -7.5
Total: 41.5

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: RB Tony Pollard, WR Elic Ayomanor

After averaging nearly 3 receptions per game over the past two seasons, Tony Pollard has seen his passing-game role cut in half with rookie QB Cam Ward under center. Ward has been hesitant to check down, leaving Pollard with limited receiving production. He remains one of the few fantasy-relevant pieces in this offense, but the looming return of Tyjae Spears threatens to reduce his already shaky floor. Ranked RB26 in FPts/G, Pollard is best viewed as a mid-flex if Spears is held out another week.

Rookie Elic Ayomanor continues to flash upside in spurts. He drew 7 targets in Week 4, but converted only 2 of them into 44 yards. His 48% catch rate and 6.0 YPT are concerning, yet his size (6’2”, 206) and athleticism (38.5-inch vertical) give him red-zone appeal. He has caught both of Cam Ward’s TD passes this year, making him a boom/bust flex option for fantasy managers searching for upside.

Fade: QB Cam Ward, WR Calvin Ridley

Cam Ward’s rookie season has been a mixed bag. His sack rate has steadily improved, and he’s showing small signs of mobility (22 rushing yards in Week 4). But he’s also thrown interceptions in back-to-back games and bottomed out with just 108 passing yards last week against Houston. While Arizona’s defense has allowed the most pass attempts per game (42), they’ve held QBs to the 13th-fewest FPts/G. Ward remains stuck in the QB3 tier.

Calvin Ridley, meanwhile, has been one of 2025’s biggest disappointments. Expected to be Ward’s go-to receiver, he’s averaging just 5.4 yards per touch and already has 4 drops. His playing time plummeted to just 27 snaps in Week 4, with his coach vaguely citing that he was “dealing with something.” Reports now confirm multiple injuries, and Ridley hasn’t practiced all week. Even if he’s active, he cannot be trusted in lineups.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainer: TE Trey McBride

Favorites: WR Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr.’s Week 4 line (6-66-1) was emblematic of his young career—ups and downs, but ultimately impactful. Encouragingly, he saw a season-high 10 targets against Seattle, his third double-digit target game in his last 10 appearances. He’s averaging 7.7 targets per game since late last year and is becoming a reliable focal point in the Arizona passing game. Against a Titans defense allowing the 6th-most FPts/G to WRs, Harrison is a low-end WR2 with real upside.

On the Fence: QB Kyler Murray, RB Emari Demercado, RB Michael Carter

Kyler Murray continues to tread water in fantasy. Despite throwing 35 and 41 passes in his last two games, he hasn’t topped 220 yards passing this season. His legs remain a positive (41 rushing yards last week), but he’s still waiting for a true breakout performance. Tennessee’s anemic offense often forces opponents into run-heavy scripts, which could cap Murray’s ceiling again. He remains a middling QB2.

The Cardinals’ backfield is a mess. With Trey Benson landing on IR, the expectation was that Emari DeMercado would take over after playing 39% of snaps in Week 4. Instead, Michael Carter announced he would be the starter, raising questions about the rotation. Carter did handle 46 touches in three games last season in a similar spot last year, but DeMercado appears to have the current edge. Both backs are risky flex plays with low floors, though positive game script could allow one to emerge as the “hot hand.”

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Cardinals 24, Titans 16 ^ Top

Commanders @ Chargers - (Fessel)
Line: LAC -2.5
Total: 46.5

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: TE Zach Ertz

With Terry McLaurin and Noah Brown already ruled out, and Deebo Samuel (heel) yet to practice as of Friday morning, Zach Ertz is in position to be the Commanders’ top pass catcher. He’s already second on the team with 20 targets and should see heavy volume from Jayden Daniels. That opportunity alone makes him a strong TE1 play this week.

On the Fence: QB Jayden Daniels, WR Deebo Samuel (heel), WR Luke McCaffrey

Daniels appears likely to return, though he’s wearing a knee brace and will need monitoring through the weekend. He’s a weekly “no brainer” when fully healthy, but given the WR injuries, he may be asked to create more with his legs. That keeps him in the QB1 discussion, though risk of re-injury lingers.

Deebo Samuel’s status is murky. If he practices in any capacity Friday and suits up, he’ll carry WR2 upside thanks to volume but will also be a risky play due to re-aggravation concerns. He’s best deployed as a volatile flex.

If Samuel sits, Luke McCaffrey steps into the WR1 role by default. The sophomore wideout has found the end zone in back-to-back weeks and offers some touchdown appeal. Still, with unproven volume, he projects as a touchdown-dependent WR4.

Fade: Commanders RBs

Neither Jacory Croskey-Merritt nor Chris Rodriguez Jr. are playable. With Washington’s passing game banged up, defenses can key in on the run, and negative game script is likely against the Chargers. In a committee setup, there’s no clear path to startable fantasy production here.

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: RB Omarion Hampton

Favorites: QB Justin Herbert, WR Quentin Johnston, WR Keenan Allen

Justin Herbert has averaged 44 pass attempts over his last two games with Najee Harris out, though his efficiency has dipped (under 60% completion rate, 3 INTs, 7 sacks). The Chargers would love to establish balance, but this offense looks destined to lean pass-first. Washington has allowed the 9th-most FPts/G to QBs, keeping Herbert safely in the QB1 mix.

Both Quentin Johnston and Keenan Allen should benefit from the high passing volume. Johnston has emerged as a reliable option, while Allen continues to soak up targets as a chain mover. Both are strong WR2 plays this week against a vulnerable Commanders secondary.

On the Fence: WR Ladd McConkey

McConkey has been overshadowed by Allen and Johnston through the first four games, ranking third in targets despite seeing a steady 7 looks per game. Efficiency has been his issue (6.4 YPT, 3 drops, no TDs), but volume remains enough to keep him in the WR2/3 conversation. Against a beatable Washington defense, he carries mid-WR2 upside if he cleans up the drops.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Chargers 27, Commanders 19 ^ Top

Lions @ Bengals - (Green)
Line: DET -9.5
Total: 49.5

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

No Brainers: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, RB David Montgomery, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, TE Sam LaPorta

Favorites: WR Jameson Williams

For as talented as Williams is, his place in Detroit’s offense is that of a tertiary weapon that the team will give a few chances to each week. That’s why he has just 10 receptions on the year, and in three of the four games he’s finished with less than 50 yards and no touchdowns -- all despite playing on the NFL’s No. 1 scoring offense. This week feels like one where Detroit could look to appease their talented wideout against a Bengals secondary that ranks 30th in NFL in passing yards allowed (262 per game). Denver had little trouble getting their own secondary targets, like Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims, in on the action Monday night, so give Williams a chance as your WR3.

On the Fence: QB Jared Goff

So, if Williams is a favorite and St. Brown and LaPorta are no-brainers, how can we be on the fence about Goff? The Lions can be unpredictable with how they look to attack. In Week 2, when they throttled Chicago, it was all about Goff and the passing game. When they bounced Baltimore, they leaned on the running attack. Last weekend, the passing game again did the heavy lifting versus Cleveland. This week, it feels like they can do whatever they want, and one of those options is leaning on Montgomery and Gibbs to control the clock against a defense that was on the field a ton Monday night in high altitude. With each of their next five games against 2024 playoff teams, maybe they try to maintain possession and limit the number of snaps they have to play. Yes, there’s still QB1 potential with Goff, but it’s not a slam dunk.

Fade: N/A

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

No Brainers: WR Ja’Marr Chase

Favorites: RB Chase Brown

It’s easy to be down on Cincinnati’s offense. They were sloppy in Week 3, and then toothless in Week 4. Those were both road games in tough environments, though, and while the Lions have talent on defense, it’s hard to say if they’re on the same level of Denver or Minnesota. Expect Cincinnati to perform better back at home, and for them to have a game plan that consists of more than just don’t turn the ball over at all costs. Brown is off to a poor start, and it’s resulted in his removal from no-brainer status. Despite that, he quietly put up 71 yards of offense Monday night, and Detroit allowed Quinshon Judkins to compile 115 yards and a score in rout of Cleveland last Sunday, so using Brown as an RB3/flex is a solid move.

On the Fence: WR Tee Higgins

For the time being, Chase remains on the no-brainer list. He’s supremely talented, and we saw evidence in Week 2 that he could put up numbers even with Jake Browning throwing the ball. Although Higgins did score a touchdown that day, he has just 136 yards receiving for the season and has fallen from WR2 to someone you could absolutely leave on your bench depending on your alternatives. Detroit’s defense has been decent against the pass, but their cornerbacks are middling, which gives Cincinnati’s duo a chance to make some plays. Given how disappointing his numbers have been thus far, starting Higgins is a risky move, but he might pay dividends as your No. 3 wideout.

Fade: QB Jake Browning

Browning turned the ball over far too often in Weeks 2 and 3. In response, the team reined him all the way in, resulting in an offense that only crossed midfield once during their blowout loss in Denver. They’ll need to open things back up in Week 5 to have any hope of competing with the Lions, so expect better from Browning during his first start of the year in Cincinnati. He might even deliver playable value -- garbage time yardage still counts -- but the idea of trying to thread that needle is dubious at best.

Prediction: Lions 38, Bengals 20 ^ Top

Patriots @ Bills - (Caron)
Line: BUF -7.5
Total: 49.5

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: TE Hunter Henry

Favorites: QB Drake Maye

Maye has been one of 2025’s breakout stars, completing a league-best 74% of passes with 7 TDs through four games while also rushing for 98 yards and 2 scores. His dual-threat ability locks in a strong floor and creates weekly ceiling potential.

Buffalo’s pass defense looks daunting on paper, allowing just 141 pass yards/game, but they’ve feasted on weak offenses (Jets, Dolphins, Saints). Their lone test -- Lamar Jackson in Week 1 -- resulted in 279 total yards and 3 TDs allowed. Maye’s efficiency and mobility make him a strong bet to exploit the Bills’ aggressiveness. He’s a top-10 QB with 20+ point upside.

On the Fence: WR Stefon Diggs

Diggs finally showed life in Week 4 (6/101) after three quiet games coming off his 2024 ACL tear. He’s still looking for his first TD, and now he draws a Buffalo secondary that has suffocated WRs: 39 catches, 435 yards, 5 TDs allowed on 62 targets all year.

The Bills have already limited Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Garrett Wilson, and Chris Olave. Diggs’ history with Buffalo gives this matchup extra juice, but he’ll likely see plenty of Taron Johnson in coverage. He’s a volatile WR3 with WR2 upside, depending on whether Maye’s volume can carry him.

Fade: Patriots RBs

New England’s backfield has devolved into a full committee of Rhamondre Stevenson, TreVeyon Henderson, and Antonio Gibson. Stevenson still leads in snaps, but none are seeing reliable workloads. Against a tough Buffalo front, all three backs profile as low-end Flex options at best.

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

No Brainers: QB Josh Allen, RB James Cook

On the Fence: TE Dalton Kincaid

Kincaid has been efficient (14 catches on 18 targets, 179 yards, 3 TDs), but his modest 4.5 targets/game cap his floor. That said, New England has been a sieve against TEs, allowing 24 catches for 256 yards through four weeks, including a Week 4 collapse against Carolina’s tight-end committee. Kincaid’s red-zone usage and matchup keep him in the TE1 range with top-5 upside, but beware of his floor if the TDs dry up.

Fade: Bills WRs

Buffalo’s receivers remain frustratingly inconsistent.

Khalil Shakir has caught 80% of his targets and scored in back-to-back weeks, but hasn’t topped 5 targets in any game.

Keon Coleman flashes big-play potential, yet has just 9 catches for 91 yards over his last 3 games.

The Patriots’ secondary has yet to allow more than six receptions to a WR in a game since Week 1. In a projected high-scoring matchup, one wideout could pop, but the usage is too shaky for confident lineups. Both are WR4/5 dart throws only.

Prediction: Bills 28, Patriots 20 ^ Top

Chiefs @ Jaguars - (Krueger)
Line: KC -3.5
Total: 45.5

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

No Brainers: QB Patrick Mahomes

Favorites: WR Xavier Worthy, TE Travis Kelce

Worthy hit the ground running in his first game back since injuring his shoulder in Week 1. His 5-83-0, 2-38-0 line was good for a WR16 finish in half PPR leagues. His return sparked the Chiefs offense who take advantage of a depleted Ravens defense and racked up 37 points. Points won’t be as easy this week as Jacksonville has given up the 5th fewest (72) and leads the league with an insane 13 takeaways in four games. However, they’ve given up a couple 100-yard games (Ja’Marr Chase, Nico Collins) and have yet to face a top-shelf offense. Mahomes missed Worthy on a couple deep throws last week… connect on one of those this week and we may see Worthy as WR1.

Kelce is bouncing around as a fringe TE1 through four games, largely because the position is void of good options. His 22 targets rank 10th at the position and he’s playing a respectable 74.4% of the snaps. The Jaguars are middle of the road against the position and the best ranking tight end they’ve faced has been Jake Tonges. At the tight end spot, it often comes down to finding a touchdown, and Kelce on Monday night gives you as strong a chance as any option.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: RBs Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt

The Chiefs are one of the few teams in the league with a high pass-rate over expected, 2nd only to the Chargers. What limited opportunities the Chiefs running backs have, are being split between Pacheco and Hunt, making each of the undesirable fantasy assets. Throw rookie Brashard Smith into the mix (7 touches last week), and this is a situation to avoid. If forced into choosing one of these three, I’d lean toward Hunt who seems to have the better opportunity around the goaline.

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB Travis Etienne

Etienne’s hot start in Week 1 (19-124-1) made the team comfortable jettisoning Tank Bigsby to the Eagles and that move continues to look good as the Jags starting running back continues to be the bright spot in the offense, ranking third among RBs in rushing yardage (394) and leads all qualifying running backs with a 6.1 average. The only hole you can poke in Etienne’s game is his lack of usage in the passing attack (2.5 tgts per) … and perhaps his overall touch count (17.7 per game) is a little light compared to other top 10 fantasy backs. Still, he’s a low-end RB1 against a Chiefs defense that is typically decent against the position, but has allowed TDs to Barkley, Skattebo and Justice Hill to start the season.

On the Fence: WR Brian Thomas Jr.

The lights have yet to come on for BTJ this season but it’s not for a lack of trying. His 32 targets rank 15th at the position but is horrible catch rate (37.5%) is alarming. He’s playing 85.5% of the snaps with a 23.2% target share so we’d expect things to turn around at some point. It’s not like the Jags have other reliable options to go to. Parker Washington is a replacement level player and Travis Hunter is stuck in one position on offense. The Chiefs haven’t given up a TD to a wideout in their last three games (Eagles, Giants, Ravens). Muck like Olave, it’s tough to sit Thomas given the volume but expectations must be tempered for the time being.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Chiefs 26, Jaguars 19 ^ Top