Life is full of joy and of sadness, and as you prepare for your
championship game, you will feel these emotions. But in truth, the
joy was in the journey. From belief your team was good on Draft
Day, to production on the field and to this chance to grab a ring.
It’s been a pleasure to take this ride with you.
Truths
Just because
you don't understand it, doesn't mean it isn't so.” - Lemony
Snicket
1) Brock Purdy is playing the best ball of his career at the
right time for fantasy owners.
True. Hard to argue when you look at his production in Week 15
(31.2 fantasy points) and Week 16 (35.9). With a game scheduled
against the Bears (ranked 25th in QB points allowed) and the 49ers
still fighting for a chance at a top seed, he figures to help
you bring home a title. Not bad for a quarterback who only played
seven games this season. Also, if you think this is Kyle Shanahan,
not Purdy, you should note Mac
Jones averaged 20.8 as a starter (13th-best), but Purdy averaged
24.4 fantasy points (third-best).
2) Purdy is playing well, but Trevor Lawrence might be the fantasy
playoff MVP.
The often maligned quarterback has produced games of 47.6 fantasy
points and 34 points in the first two rounds of this year’s
playoffs. And a road game against Indianapolis, who just allowed
Purdy almost 36 fantasy points bodes well for Championship Week.
This is easily Lawrence’s best season since he came out
of Clemson and with games against the Colts and Titans could be
the best Jaguars season since they went 14-2 in 1999 under lefty
quarterback Mark Brunell.
3) In the last 24 seasons, no runner has led the league in FPts/G
and been as inefficient running the ball as Christian McCaffrey
(3.9 ypc).
Fact. Since 2001, no back ever rushed for less than 4.0 ypc and
won the fantasy running back title. McCaffrey, at 25.1 FPts/G,
is well ahead of Jahmyr Gibbs (22.7) and Jonathan Taylor (22.6),
so it appears the string of 4.0 ypc or better is about to be broken.
There are some of my favorite running backs on this list; Priest
Holmes, Chris Johnson and LaDainian Tomlinson. They all won me
titles.
Year
Running Back
FPts/G
Ru Att
Ru Yds
YPC
2025
C. McCaffrey
25
280
1039
3.9
2024
S. Barkley
22
345
2005
4.1
2023
C. McCaffrey
25
272
1459
5.4
2022
A. Ekeler
22
204
915
4.5
2021
D. Henry
23
219
937
4.3
2020
A. Kamara
25
187
932
5.0
2019
C. McCaffrey
29
287
1387
4.8
2018
S. Barkley
24
261
1307
5.0
2017
T. Gurley
26
279
1305
4.7
2016
Le'Veon Bell
27
261
1268
4.9
2015
Devonta Freeman
21
264
1061
4.0
2014
Le'Veon Bell
23
290
1361
4.7
2013
Jamaal Charles
26
259
1288
5.0
2012
Adrian Peterson
22
348
2097
6.0
2011
Arian Foster
24
278
1224
4.4
2010
Arian Foster
25
326
1614
5.0
2009
Chris Johnson
25
251
1228
4.9
2008
Brian Westbrook
19
233
936
4.0
2007
Brian Westbrook
25
278
1333
4.8
2006
L. Tomlinson
30
349
1815
5.2
2005
Shaun Alexander
24
370
1880
5.1
2004
Priest Holmes
27
196
892
4.6
2003
Priest Holmes
28
320
1420
4.4
2002
Priest Holmes
32
313
1615
5.2
2001
Marshall Faulk
30
260
1382
5.3
* must have played at least half the season
4) Just when we needed him the most, the Colts’ Jonathan
Taylor let us down.
Through Week 10, Taylor was averaging 27.1 FPts/G, but in the
five games since then he's averaging a pedestrian 13.4 FPts/G.
The first number led the league, the last number ranks 21st among
running backs. It's not a coincidence that the Colts quarterback
play wasn't up to its early season production. Through the
first 10 games Daniel Jones averaged 23.7, but the combination
of Jones, Riley Leonard and Philip Rivers has averaged just 17.1
since Week 11. Great quarterback play keeps defenses from loading
the box and stopping even elite runners.
5) Kyle Pitts is a top-five fantasy tight end in 2025.
I can't believe I typed that, but it's true. With
another solid day in Week 16 (7-57-1), Pitts is averaging 13 FPts/G
for the season and ranks No.5 behind only Trey McBride, George Kittle, Tucker Kraft and Brock Bowers. Even the return of Drake London, who looked very slow after four games off due to a PCL
injury and could not separate from his defenders, couldn't
keep Pitts from producing well.
Lies
“There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what
isn't true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.”
- Soren Kierkegaard
1) Re-signing Jacoby Brissett should be a top priority for the
Arizona Cardinals.
False. Fantasy owners may love his production (24.3 fantasy points
in 10 starts), but how can Cardinals management bring back a guy
who has led the team to a 1-9 record with him under center? Kyler Murray is definitely on his way out, but I think Brissett will
be too. Jonathan Gannon inherited Murray and if the head coach
is retained, he figures to want his own choice as quarterback.
Arizona currently has the sixth pick in the 2026 draft. This team
could be a candidate to move up to get Dante Moore (Oregon) or
Fernando Mendoza (Indiana).
2) Neither John Harbaugh nor the OC Todd Monken should be fired
for their Derrick Henry usage.
False. Henry, who ran for 128 yards on just 18 carries (7.1 ypc),
didn't touch the ball the last 12 minutes and 50 seconds
of the game. The Ravens had just scored to go up 24-13 on Henry's
second TD run. It's reasonable for Henry to sit when the
team is behind, since he's not a big part of the passing
game, but when ahead makes this is complete coaching failure.
It's particularly egregious when the team's best player,
Lamar Jackson, is sidelined due to injury. Why are you trying
to win without your two best players on the field?
3) Dak Prescott is to blame for another Dallas Cowboys disaster
of a season.
Incorrect. Prescott is the least of this team’s worries.
He’s completing 68.5% of his passes for 4,175 yards, 28
touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He’s averaging 23.2 FPts/G,
good enough for seventh in the league. There isn’t an offensive
problem in Dallas. It’s the defense. It’s also the
General Manager who assembled the defense. The Cowboys won’t
win anything until the owner sticks to the business side of football
(for which he is excellent) and leaves the personnel side to a
professional.
4) Fantasy running backs take the big hits on every play either
running or blocking and are the most injured of any position.
Unlikely. In case you had not heard, the Kansas City Chiefs are
leaving the city for a new $3 billion domed stadium in Wyandotte
County, Kansas. I’m guessing just as the New York Giants
and New York Jets play in New Jersey is the same reason the Chiefs
will still be the Kansas City Chiefs. (p.s. The Hunt family, worth
$25 billion, will receive $1.8 billion in public money. Your tax
dollars going to this very important issue… no, not child
hunger or medical care).