The son of longtime NFL receiver Ed McCaffrey, Christian comes from
a ridiculously deep athletic family. (3:51)
The two-time Colorado Gatorade High School Player of the Year (2012,
2013) flashed as a rookie (551 offensive yards on 59 touches) but
still took a backseat to players such as Remound Wright and Barry
Sanders Jr. in the backfield as a freshman before taking over in
2015. McCaffrey had a season for the ages as a sophomore, setting
a NCAA record with 3,864 all-purpose yards - including 2,019 yards
rushing, 645 receiving and 1,070 via kickoff returns. Capping off
a year in which he finished second to Derrick Henry in the Heisman
Trophy balloting, he became the first player to amass 100 yards
rushing and 100 yards receiving in a Rose Bowl game during a rout
of Iowa. It was a performance that helpled him to become the only
FBS player to lead his team in rushing and receiving yards and earn the
Paul Hornung Award as the nation's most versatile player. With future
draft picks Kevin Hogan and Austin Hooper leaving for the NFL prior
to the start of the 2016 campaign, McCaffrey became even more the
focal point of defensive game plans in 2016. Despite the added attention,
McCaffrey's yards per carry (6.0 to 6.3) and offensive touchdown
totals (13 to 16) actually increased from 2015, even though he missed
a regular-season game due to an undisclosed injury and opted not
to play in the 2017 Sun Bowl in order to "begin his draft preparation
immediately" (as
he stated on Twitter). Incredibly, he still amassed 6,191 all-purpose
yards in his final two seasons - the most in a two-year span by
any player in the history of college football history.
High-end
NFL Player Comp(s): Brian Westbrook Low-end NFL Player Comp(s):
Danny Woodhead
Best Scheme Fit: Any system
that gives him multiple opportunities every game to work 1-on-1
against a linebacker in coverage. While he's an above-average
inside runner, he can be used all over the field in the passing
game and excels at outside zone runs. Note: All times listed in parentheses
in strengths/weaknesses section reflect the start time on video
- via Draft Breakdown - that displays that skill/trait.
Strengths
Absolute mismatch weapon in the passing game, pure hands-catcher
(2:22,
2:39,
6:30)
capable of running routes like a receiver with the ability to
beat cornerbacks if necessary. (1:13,
2:38,
2:43,
4:52,
5:00)
Marriage between feet and eyes as good as any prospect in
recent memory. (1:44,
2:10,
2:43,
3:40,
4:50)
Possesses a great sense of when exactly to hit the hole hard,
when to be patient (0:50,
4:06,
6:24)
and when/how to set up his blocks. (3:15,
5:30,
6:12,
6:35,
6:54,
7:33)
Runs with more power than one would expect for a 202-pounder
(4:07,
4:35,
4:47,
4:59,
5:15,
5:47);
3.3 yards after contact per attempt per Pro Football Focus.
Weaves in and out of traffic (1:44,
2:11,
4:32,
5:51,
6:25),
transitions seamlessly when making cuts (2:05,
4:32,
6:53),
and boasts above-average acceleration. (3:42,
4:07,
8:19)
Incredibly difficult to square up in 1-on-1 situations with
impressive stop-start ability and two-lane jump-cuts. (2:10,
3:10,
3:45,
4:07,
4:13,
4:31,
5:37)
Will be able to make instant impact if he is asked to return
kicks. (2:30,
3:13,
8:30)
Incredibly football-smart player (5:55,
6:15)
who maintains a good base as a pass-blocker (3:40)
and will generally neutralize the blitzer in pass pro. (3:16,
6:05,
7:48)
Weaknesses
Lacks prototypical size for the position and may be viewed
as only a "movable chess piece."
Doesn't often take a big blow but tends to run a bit upright
at the end of second-level runs - usually after making a move
- which leads to a bigger hit than he should receive. (1:02,
1:31,
4:41,
5:05,
8:12)
Not a dancer but can almost be too patient waiting for crease
to develop (2:30,
6:04,
6:55)
sometimes stopping his feet in the process. (3:16,
4:41)
Doesn't always protect the ball with two hands (or keep the
ball high-and-tight with one) as often as he should in traffic.
(0:01,
3:22)
Can be a bit late to recognize his blocking assignment (4:31,
5:19)
or fail to chip a defensive end effectively. (3:38)
Bottom Line
While there is a lot of truth to the idea about any prospect reaching
his full potential if he lands in the right situation, it really
applies to McCaffrey. In a conservative offense that views him
as little more than a third-down specialist and/or committee back,
he profiles a bigger and more dynamic version of Woodhead. In
an offense that values creativity and will ruthlessly target matchups
week after week, McCaffrey could easily be this generation's Westbrook
or even Marshall Faulk as a highly intelligent player capable
of routinely finishing with 60 to 80 catches and 200 to 225 carries
per season. The 2015 Heisman Trophy runner-up doesn't exactly
possess ideal size at 202 pounds, but we've seen numerous examples
of running backs playing at a Pro Bowl level at that weight or
lighter. Like Faulk, McCaffrey should be to handle a feature-back
type of workload because he sees the field so well, which obviously
allows him to avoid a lot of punishing blows. He should see a
ton of work in the passing game, which should allow him to dictate
terms to the defense and force linebackers and safeties to play
on their heels.
Size and career workload (745 combined touches over three seasons)
will probably be the most common knocks associated with McCaffrey,
but they really shouldn't be. The single-season NCAA record-holder
in all-purpose yards is a great space player who happens to be
a very good inside runner, not an inside pounder who relies on
physicality to create space. In other words, his touches over
the last two years aren't equivalent to the ones a player like
LSU's Leonard Fournette absorbed during his college days. Successful
running backs come in all shapes and sizes; it's up to their teams
to mold their scheme in order to highlight what they do best.
Whereas most prospects have at least one obvious flaw, McCaffrey
has no glaring weakness and only parts in his game he needs to
refine through more reps and NFL-level coaching. My earlier comparisons
to Faulk and Westbrook earlier has to do with play style and football
intelligence more than his level or statistical upside - Faulk
did spend a good deal of his career in a Mike Martz offense -
but the right play-caller will be able to use McCaffrey in a similar
way.
Doug Orth has written for FF
Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy
Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s
hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday
in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national
sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”.
Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.