10/13/07
One of the best tools that FF Today provides is the fantasy
football points vs. feature and, more specifically, the remaining
Strength of Schedule.
Using this feature, it is my hope to augment these features and
refine them even further. Over time, it should be proven in this
column that different styles of players score differently against
different opponents. For example, perhaps a possession receiver
makes for a better play against a certain defense as opposed to
a burner despite the fact that the defensive back guarding him is
considered slow. Given the high number of committee running backs
and teams without a clear-cut #1 receiver in the NFL, I feel this
analysis will help owners with roster decisions throughout this
season.
QBs: (1 pt per 25 yds passing;
6 pts for all TDs, -2 pts/INT or fumble)
RBs/WRs/TEs: (1 point per 10
yards rushing/receiving, 6 points per TD)
Note: Teams that have a fantasy
relevant TE will be included. Also, for the first weeks, projected
fantasy points allowed will be used as teams have yet to establish
any trends. After the first month of the season, this column will
take on the look it had last season as there will be enough information
to start analyzing trends.
Week 6’s Inside the Matchup
is abbreviated due to extenuating circumstances. Thank you for
your understanding and please follow the e-mail link above if
you have any questions. Week 7’s edition will return to
normal.
Bye Weeks: Bills, Broncos,
Lions, Colts, Steelers, Niners
CIN @ KC | HOU
@ JAX | MIA @ CLE | MIN @ CHI
| PHI @ NYJ | STL @ BAL
TEN @ TB | WAS @ GB CAR
@ ARI | NE @ DAL | OAK @ SD
| NO @ SEA | NYG @ ATL
Carson Palmer/Chad Johnson/Doug Houshmandzadeh
Rudi Johnson (vs. KC)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 9.1/12.4/
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 19.3
Projections:
Carson Palmer: 235 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Chad Johnson: 110 rec/1 TD
Doug Houshmandzadeh: 80 rec
Rudi Johnson: 90 rush/1 TD/20 rec
Damon Huard/Dwayne Bowe/Eddie Kennison
or Samie Parker/Tony Gonzalez
Larry Johnson (vs. CIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season:
Ravens
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season:
Ravens
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: -1.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 19.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 22.1/31.2/6.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 21.7
Projections:
Damon Huard: 215 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Dwayne Bowe: 75 rec
Eddie Kennison/Samie Parker: 25 rec
Tony Gonzalez: 80 rec/1 TD
Larry Johnson: 120 rush/1 TD/25 rec
Matt Schaub/Andre Davis/Kevin Walter/Owen
Daniels
Ahman Green (vs. JAX)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jags this season:
Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Jags this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 8.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 5.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 11.4/12.9/6.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 14.5
Projections:
Matt Schaub: 255 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Andre Davis: 80 rec/1 TD
Kevin Walter: 40 rec
Owen Daniels: 60 rec/1 TD
Ahman Green: 50 rush/35 rec
David Garrard/Dennis Northcutt/Ernest
Wilford
Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew/Greg Jones (vs. HOU)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Texans this season:
Chiefs
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Texans this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 2.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 15.4/20.8/4.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 14.9
Projections:
David Garrard: 230 pass/1 TD/0 INT/30 rush
Dennis Northcutt: 70 rec
Ernest Wilford: 55 rec/1 TD
Fred Taylor: 55 rush/15 rec
Maurice Jones-Drew: 50 rush/1 TD/25 rush
Greg Jones: 10 rush
Cleo Lemon/Chris Chambers/Marty Booker
Ronnie Brown (vs. CLE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Browns this season:
Raiders
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Browns this season:
Raiders
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 14.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 7.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 27.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 27.8/27.7/N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 18.1
Projections:
Cleo Lemon: 215 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Chris Chambers: 100 rec
Marty Booker: 65 rec/1 TD
Ronnie Brown: 110 rush/2 TD/45 rec
Derek Anderson/Braylon Edwards/Joe Jurevicius/Kellen
Winslow
Jamal Lewis/Jason Wright (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season:
Cowboys
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 17.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 10.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs:
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 19.6/17.5/5.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 21.6
Projections:
Derek Anderson: 260 pass/3 TD/1 INT
Braylon Edwards: 90 rec/2 TD
Joe Jurevicius: 40 rec
Kellen Winslow: 75 rec/1TD
Jamal Lewis/Jason Wright: 90 rush/1 TD/25 rec
Tavaris Jackson/Troy Williamson/Bobby Wade/Sidney
Rice/Visanthe Shiancoe
Chester Taylor/Adrian Peterson (vs. CHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bears this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bears this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 14.9/20.1/9.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 19.4
Projections:
Tavaris Jackson: 190 pass/1 TD/2 INT/15 rush
Troy Williamson: 30 rec
Bobby Wade: 45 rec
Sidney Rice: 50 rec/1 TD
Visanthe Shiancoe: 30 rec
Chester Taylor: 40 rush/10 rec
Adrian Peterson: 70 rush/1 TD/20 rec
Brian Griese/Bernard Berrian/Muhsin Muhammad/Desmond
Clark/Greg Olsen
Cedric Benson (vs. MIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season:
Packers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 32.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 7.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 15.3/24.2/7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 8.9
Projections:
Brian Griese: 255 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Bernard Berrian: 80 rec/1 TD
Muhsin Muhammad: 55 rec/1 TD
Desmond Clark: 40 rec/1 TD
Greg Olsen: 30 rec
Cedric Benson: 50 rush/10 rec
Donovan McNabb/Kevin Curtis/Reggie Brown/Jason
Avant
Brian Westbrook (vs. NYJ)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jets this season:
Dolphins
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Jets this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 18.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 19.9/20.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 24.5
Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 280 pass/3 TD/0 INT
Kevin Curtis: 110 rec/2 TD
Reggie Brown: 60 rec
Jason Avant: 45 rec/1 TD
Brian Westbrook: 105 rush/1 TD/55 rec
Chad Pennington/Laveranues Coles/Jerricho
Cotchery
Thomas Jones (vs. PHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season:
Packers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season:
Packers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 10.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 13.3/22.4/4.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 14
Projections:
Chad Pennington: 220 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Laveranues Coles: 80 rec/1 TD
Jerricho Cotchery: 75 rec
Thomas Jones: 60 rush/20 rec
Gus Frerotte/Torry Holt/Drew Bennett/Randy
McMichael
Brian Leonard (vs. BAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season:
Jets
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 24
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 6.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 16.9/24.8/3.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 9.6
Projections:
Gus Frerotte: 215 pass/1 TD/3 INT
Torry Holt: 60 rec
Drew Bennett: 60 rec/1 TD
Randy McMichael: 40 rec
Brian Leonard: 55 rush/20 rec
Steve McNair/Mark Clayton/Derrick Mason/Todd
Heap
Willis McGahee (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season:
Niners
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Rams this season:
Cardinals
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 2.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 14.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 18.8/22.3/4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 23.1
Projections:
Steve McNair: 185 pass/1 TD/0 INT/10 rush
Mark Clayton: 40 rec
Derrick Mason: 75 rec
Todd Heap: 50 rec/1 TD
Willis McGahee: 120 rush/1 TD/10 rec
Vince Young/Brandon Jones/Eric Moulds/Bo
Scaife
LenDale White/Chris Brown (vs. TB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season:
Rams
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 16
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 12.5/13.6/4.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 22.3
Projections:
Vince Young: 170 pass/1 TD/1 INT/45 rush/1 TD
Brandon Jones: 50 rec
Eric Moulds: 35 rec
Bo Scaife: 20 rec
Chris Brown: 65 rush/15 rec
LenDale White: 65 rush/1 TD
Jeff Garcia/Joey Galloway/Ike Hilliard
Earnest Graham (vs. TEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Titans this season:
Jags
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Titans this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 19.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 8.4/16.2/5.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 12.7
Projections:
Jeff Garcia: 195 pass/1 TD/0 INT/20 rush
Joey Galloway: 65 rec
Ike Hilliard: 50 rec/1 TD
Earnest Graham: 50 rush/1 TD/10 rec
Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle
El/Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis/Ladell Betts (vs. GB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Packers this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Packers this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 17.4/18.3/9.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 15.9
Projections:
Jason Campbell: 220 pass/1 TD/1 INT/15 rush
Santana Moss: 70 rec
Antwaan Randle El: 50 rec
Chris Cooley: 45 rec/1 TD
Clinton Portis: 70 rush/10 rec
Ladell Betts: 45 rush/25 rec
Brett Favre/Donald Driver/Greg Jennings/James
Jones
DeShawn Wynn/Vernand Morency (vs. WAS)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season:
Eagles
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 8.9/12.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 15.8
Projections:
Brett Favre: 245 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Donald Driver: 60 rec
Greg Jennings: 75 rec
James Jones: 45 rec
Brandon Jackson: 35 rush/10 rec
Vernand Morency: 40 rush/10 rec
Vinny Testaverde or David Carr/Steve Smith/Keary
Colbert/Jeff King
DeShaun Foster/DeAngelo Williams (vs. ARI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 16.5/23.3/4.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 15.2
Projections:
David Carr/Vinny Testaverde: 170 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Steve Smith: 50 rec/1 TD
Keary Colbert: 40 rec
Jeff King: 30 rec
DeShaun Foster: 70 rush/1 TD/15 rec
DeAngelo Williams: 25 rush/25 rec
Kurt Warner/Anquan Boldin/Larry Fitzgerald/Bryant
Johnson
Edgerrin James (vs. CAR)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season:
Rams, Bucs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 16.6/20.1/4.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 16.7
Projections:
Kurt Warner: 255 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 105 rec/1 TD
Bryant Johnson: 50 rec
Edgerrin James: 90 rush/1 TD/ 20 rec
Tom Brady/Randy Moss/Wes Welker/Donte Stallworth/Ben
Watson
Laurence Maroney/Sammy Morris (vs. DAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season:
Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 34.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 43.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 12.7/21.1/4.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 12.7
Projections:
Tom Brady: 300 pass/3 TD/0 INT
Randy Moss: 110 rec/1 TD
Donte Stallworth: 70 rec/1 TD
Wes Welker: 45 rec/1 TD
Ben Watson: 25 rec
Laurence Maroney: 80 rush
Sammy Morris: 40 rush/1 TD/25 rec
Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Jason
Witten
Julius Jones/Marion Barber (vs. NE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season:
Browns
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season:
N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 18.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 23.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 9.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 12.7/17.6/6.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 12
Projections:
Tony Romo: 275 pass/2 TD/2 INT/20 rush
Terrell Owens: 80 rec/2 TD
Patrick Crayton: 50 rec
Jason Witten: 50 rec/1 TD
Julius Jones: 35 rush/20 rec
Marion Barber: 45 rush/1 TD/30 rec
Daunte Culpepper/Jerry Porter/Ronald Curry/Zach
Miller
Dominic Rhodes/Justin Fargas (vs. SD)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season:
Broncos
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season:
Chiefs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 5.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 18.2/24/9.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 12.7
Projections:
Daunte Culpepper: 225 pass/2 TD/2 INT/20 rush
Jerry Porter: 60 rec/1 TD
Ronald Curry: 85 rec/1 TD
Zach Miller: 35 rec
Dominic Rhodes: 65 rush/1 TD/25 rec
Justin Fargas: 50 rush/ 15 rec
Philip Rivers/Vincent Jackson/Buster Davis/Antonio
Gates
LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season:
Dolphins
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 27.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 16.8/22.9/6.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 20.5
Projections:
Philip Rivers: 220 pass/2 TD/2 INT
Vincent Jackson: 60 rec/1 TD
Buster Davis: 35 rec
Antonio Gates: 65 rec/1 TD
LaDainian Tomlinson: 110 rush/1 TD/40 rec
Drew Brees/Marques Colston/Devery Henderson/Lance
Moore/Eric Johnson
Reggie Bush (vs. SEA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season:
Niners
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 13.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 11.2/17.1/4.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 19.5
Projections:
Drew Brees: 270 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Marques Colston: 60 rec
Devery Henderson: 40 rec
Lance Moore: 50 rec
Eric Johnson: 40 rec/1 TD
Reggie Bush: 50 rush/50 rec
Matt Hasselbeck/Bobby Engram/Nate Burleson/Marcus
Pollard
Shaun Alexander (vs. NO)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Saints this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Saints this season:
Bucs, Titans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 19.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 20.6/25.9/5.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 17.8
Projections:
Matt Hasselbeck: 230 pass/2 TD/0 INT
Bobby Engram: 75 rec/1 TD
Nate Burleson: 60 rec/1 TD
Marcus Pollard: 35 rec
Shaun Alexander: 100 rush/2 TD/10 rec
Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress/Amani Toomer/Jeremy
Shockey
Brandon Jacobs/Derrick Ward (vs. ATL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season:
Vikings
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 25.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 14.1/14.7/6.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 18.1
Projections:
Eli Manning: 220 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Plaxico Burress: 60 rec/1 TD
Amani Toomer: 35 rec
Jeremy Shockey: 50 rec/1 TD
Brandon Jacobs: 85 rush/1 TD/20 rec
Derrick Ward: 65 rush/40 rec
Joey Harrington/RoddyWhite/Michael Jenkins/Alge
Crumpler
Warrick Dunn/Jerious Norwood (vs. NYG)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season:
N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Giants this season:
Jets
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 6.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over this season: 19.3/19.3/10.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over this season: 17.7
Projections:
Joey Harrington: 210 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Roddy White: 65 rec/1 TD
Michael Jenkins: 50 rec
Alge Crumpler: 40 rec
Warrick Dunn: 40 rush/20 rec
Jerious Norwood: 40 rush/20 rec
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