QBs: (1 pt per 25 yds passing; 6 pts for all TDs, -2 pts/INT)
WRs/TEs: (1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 points per TD)

Note: Teams that have a fantasy relevant TE will be included. Otherwise, the numbers will reflect WR performance.

Passing

Matt Hasselbeck/Darrell Jackson/Deion Branch (vs. ARI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Seahawks
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 24.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 18.9/27.1

Notes: Three of the last four QBs to face the Cardinals have allowed two or more passing scores. Also, the Cardinals have allowed 248 or more yards in all four, so Hasselbeck should be a solid start once again assuming nothing new on his body is injured this week. #1 WRs have prospered for much of the year against this defense; including Darrell Jackson in Week 2-so expect more of the same this week. If you’ve been sticking with Branch lately, keep doing so. Yes, his production was down vs. Denver, but so were his targets. In fact, it was the first game he hadn’t seen 6 targets in a game since he became a starter. Jackson should come pretty close to 18.7 number he posted in Week 2 against the Cardinals. Branch is obviously a lesser quality start this week, more of the low-end #2 variety.

Bruce Gradkowski/Joey Galloway/Ike Hilliard/Maurice Stovall (vs. ATL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season: Bucs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 6.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 27.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 15.1/24.9

Notes: Chris Simms was the starter yet when these teams met in Week 2. The Bucs offense is struggling terribly and it is doubtful that even the pitiful Falcons defense can cure it. I can’t recommend Gradkowski at any point for the rest of the season, especially at this most important juncture. Galloway once again looks to be a low-end #2 option, as he hung 16.1 points on the Falcons in the first meeting plus the opponent’s deep threat has hurt Atlanta’s defense more often than not this season. (Michael Clayton has been ruled out for the year. He had only been receiving about 5 targets a game anyway.) Hilliard and Stovall figure to follow in the footsteps of Clayton, worthy of very little consideration for fantasy purposes.

Trent Green/Eddie Kennison/Samie Parker/Tony Gonzalez (vs. BAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: Chargers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 9.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 4.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 11.5/18.4/1.7

Notes: Every week, someone has to bust out and ridicule what the numbers suggest. Two weeks ago, it was Joseph Addai. Last week, it was Green. So for those fantasy owners who started Green last week, sit him down because his receivers should not plan on getting open (or scoring fantasy points) all that often this week. Green should only see action this week in two-QB leagues while Kennison and Parker should find your bench as well. Gonzalez is about the only recommendation and he should top out at around the 50 yard mark. (No TE this season has had a double digit fantasy game or even scored a TD against the Ravens.) Common sense and the numbers bear out that Larry Johnson and Jamal Lewis and the defenses will determine this game.

Chad Pennington/Laveranues Coles/Jerricho Cotchery (vs. BUF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: Jets
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 11.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 13.5/10.5

Notes: Pennington still isn’t meeting his first-month fantasy standards, but have they discovered a running game!?! That’s good for the Jets, but fantasy owners need to look elsewhere this week as the league’s 2nd most forgiving fantasy run defense is next on the schedule. All in all, the pass defense has been playing up to par, allowing only 3 WR touchdowns over the past 5 weeks. Pennington figures to be a 200-yard, 1 TD performer this week. Coles and Cotchery both only had fair games in the first meeting, combining to average only 8.5 yards/catch. If you are in search of a wildcard pick, you may take a look at Chris Baker. He scored in the first meeting and the Bills have allowed their fair share of fantasy points to the TE position this season. Coles found the most success in the first game, so I expect that trend to hold here as well. Both make for low-end #2 plays this week.

Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress/Tim Carter/Jeremy Shockey (vs. CAR)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season: Cowboys
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 17.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 15.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.9/16.3/5.6

Notes: Manning came back with a pretty strong performance vs. the Cowboys last week, which suggests he may be primed once again to be a respectable starting fantasy QB after taking the last month or so off. Keep in mind, however, that the Panthers defense vs. opposing QBs and RBs has been better at home than on the road, especially since the first month of the season. Both teams need this game in the worst way to keep their wild-card hopes alive, so look for some good football here. I like Manning to put up what has become an average Eli 2006 performance, so the 16-17 points that has been the average allowed by the Panthers defense lately sounds about right. The Panthers have struggled against some of the bigger WRs they have faced, which make Burress a good bet for 80 yards and a score. And thankfully, Manning looked to Shockey early in the game last week. The Panthers have been pretty generous when facing top fantasy TEs this season. Shockey should be good for 50 yards and a score as well.

Marc Bulger/Torry Holt/Isaac Bruce (vs. CHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Seahawks, Cardinals
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 23.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 4.7/9.7

Notes: Fantasy owners with a vested interest in the Rams passing game probably have been dreading this week for some time. Bulger (and his offensive line) are hurting, not to mention that he waited about an hour after the Cardinals loss last week to call out some of his teammates for “giving up”. Bulger’s 18.6 number last week was his best since Week 9. It doesn’t figure to get much better against the Bears pass defense. In fact, I would say he is bench-able the next two weeks before possibly helping his owners out in Week 16. I can’t in good conscious recommend sitting Holt, as he has torched a Tampa 2-style defense before. However, Bears HC Lovie Smith worked with the Rams a few years back and knows what this passing game is capable of, so there will be no oversight to that end. The best receiving games vs. the Bears have been posted by Chris Chambers and Laveranues Coles, so there is hope for Holt. That said, be happy with 60+ yards and a score for Holt. No. 2 WRs like Bruce have been nearly invisible vs. Chicago, so sit him down this weekend. I have a hard time seeing Bulger go for more than 150 yards and a score in this game.

Aaron Brooks/Randy Moss/Ronald Curry (vs. CIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: Bucs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 18.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 14.7/24.3

Notes: The Bengals defense is playing better of late. Of particular note, they are tackling better. This week, they take on a terrible offense that has not topped 22 points all season (they have only scored more than 14 points four times all season). Raiders QBs have only managed three double-digit fantasy games all season while Raiders WRs have only managed two double-digit performances. Seriously, look elsewhere-you don’t want the headache.

Drew Brees/Joe Horn/Marques Colston/Devery Henderson/Terrence Copper (vs. DAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: Eagles, Colts
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 29.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 14.3/16.4

Notes: Talk about two of the best feel-good QB stories meeting up this weekend. The Saints passing game took a short rest vs. the Niners when San Fran decided they did not want to get beat deep, which really opened up the game for the Saints RBs (Bush: 40.8; McAllister: 14). Expect the reverse this week. Yes, the Saints RBs will be involved, but assuming Colston returns, expect Brees to return to his 300-yard ways. Horn hasn’t been putting up great numbers as of late for a passing game so hot, although he has been dealing with a groin issue the last 2-3 weeks. Matched up with Terrence Newman this week, look for Horn to post mediocre numbers once again. With the return of Colston, look for him to make up for lost time, despite facing underrated CB Anthony Henry. The Cowboys can be beat deep, and in this game, they probably will. Brees is a great start this week despite the matchup, with Colston, Henderson, and Horn (in that order) all capable of #2 WR consideration. Now all of this changes if both Horn and Colston need to sit out. It would be wise to temper expectations on the passing game in that case, as Reggie Bush would get a serious upgrade in such a situation.

Philip Rivers/SD receivers/Antonio Gates (vs. DEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: Chargers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 9/13.4/3.4

Notes: It’s hard to believe with such a great offense, there is no more than two good plays on this team each week. And this week, Gates doesn’t figure to be all that great of a play, either. Gates has yet to score in five career games vs. the Broncos. Never mind the fact that the Denver defense has yet to allow a TE score this season. Vincent Jackson had the best game the first time around amongst Chargers WRs and Eric Parker has been a difficult matchup for Champ Bailey on occasion, but these WRs have only produced one double-digit fantasy performance all year, so look elsewhere. And quite honestly, they haven’t really needed great numbers from their WRs, so don’t look for that to change. Furthermore, with MLB Al Wilson likely a question mark for the Broncos defense, it’s even more likely the Chargers ride Tomlinson in the rushing and receiving game. Don’t expect much more than 175 yards and a score for Rivers and no more than 50 yards receiving from Gates.

Brad Johnson/ MIN receivers (vs. DET)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Vikings
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 19/23.1

Notes: Brad Johnson had a horrendous game last week and was subsequently benched. This week, he makes a middle-of-the-road play. He only had a fair 11.9 game in the first meeting and with the Lions coming off a pretty fair outing against (the suddenly fantasy-average) Tom Brady, there is little reason to start Johnson this week. If you absolutely need to start a Vikings WR at this point, look at Marcus Robinson. He has been targeted 11 times in each of the past two weeks and it is clear that Johnson trusts him. That being said, look for the Vikes to continue doing what they have been doing all season, ride the running game as long and as far as they can.

Alex Smith/Antonio Bryant/Arnaz Battle/Vernon Davis (vs. GB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Packers this season: Vikings
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 22.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 0
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 22.7/22

Notes: Despite the Packers defense allowing some gaudy numbers, Smith isn’t anything more than an average play. The Niners are committed to the run and (if the last two weeks are any indication), that isn’t such a bad thing. Despite all that, the Packers defense has allowed at least one double-digit fantasy performer at QB AND WR in every game this season. Early in the season, it was the deep threats. Lately, it has been the possession receivers doing the damage. As a result, I like Battle to find the end zone this week (along with about 60 yards) for Smith’s one throwing score and his 175+ yards passing. Bryant makes for a #3 WR play. Davis also makes for a low-end #1 TE play at TE. He should be good for 40-50 yards.

Vince Young/Drew Bennett/Brandon Jones/Bo Scaife (vs. HOU)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: Titans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 18.5/28.2/2.2

Notes: This offense is very quickly taking on a Falcons-like personality to it, especially for fantasy owners. They are a run-oriented team with few, if any, consistent plays from their passing game (besides the QB). In the first meeting, Young had his second-worst passing yardage performance (87 yards) since becoming the starter, but yet still managed some nice fantasy numbers when he threw and ran for one score each. For those playing against him this week, take solace in the fact that he hasn’t registered great numbers on the road…yet. And I don’t look for that to change this week either. Young is always a good bet for one rushing score and some rushing yards, but I would look for more Travis Henry in this game. By all means, continue to use Young if you have been simply because he has been stuffing the fantasy box scores lately. But I do expect his numbers to fall off, at least for this week. Bennett is probably the best play of the WRs, but I wouldn’t chance starting any of them. The same goes for Scaife, as no TE has done all that well vs. this defense in the last month.

David Garrard/Ernest Wilford/Matt Jones/Reggie Williams (vs. IND)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Colts this season: Jags
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 13.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 14.3/15.5

Notes: When these teams met in Week 3, Leftwich was the starter. It is interesting to note that the Colts have dealt with their fair share of running QBs and have not dealt all that well with them; even though last week was the first time they had allowed significant rushing yards to the position. As is the usual Jaguars game plan vs. the Colts, look for a heavy dose of the running game, including 30-40 rushing yards from Garrard, to keep the clock moving and the Colts offense off the field. I don’t look for all that great of a game passing-wise from him, but he should find a way to be a part of at least one score to go along with about 175 yards passing. Matt Jones has come on as of late, but he is a big risk at this point. The Colts defense is designed to keep the passing plays short, which is not Jones’ specialty. Wilford could make a re-appearance once again in the passing game, but quite honestly, Maurice Jones-Drew could lead the team in receiving this week. They are just too many mediocre receiving options for this team in this game to consider any one of them a solid start.

Peyton Manning/Marvin Harrison/Reggie Wayne/Ben Utecht (vs. JAX)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jags this season: Colts
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 20.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 17.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 9.4/18.2/3.7

Notes: As has been cited a number of times in this column already, the Jags defense excels at home and they generally play to the level of their competition. This week brings in a Colts offense that is not scoring points at the rate we have been accustomed to in recent years, scoring 17 points or less in three of their last four. Manning managed an average fantasy performance (for him) in the Week 3 meeting and should be expected to do about the same here. Because the Jags will do their best to limit the number of possessions, look for Manning to top out at 250 yards with no more than 2 TDs. It should be Wayne’s turn to have a good game this week, but he has not scored on this defense since 2003. Therefore, Harrison should find his way into the box score once again this week-he has had his share of success against the Jags defense over the years. Utecht or Bryan Fletcher-in that order-may also be in line for a short yardage score as well, but the plays he remain the usual suspects. Harrison should be good for 80 yards and a possible score, followed by Wayne’s 60+ yards.

Steve McNair/Derrick Mason/Mark Clayton/Todd Heap (vs. KC)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Dolphins, Browns
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 20.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 10.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.4/14.8/12.7

Notes: Good news: The Browns sometimes-lackluster offense laid 31 points on this defense last week. Bad news: The Ravens showed absolutely no imagination on offense last week vs. the Bengals, nearly getting shut out. This game is in Arrowhead Stadium, so look for the Chiefs to play better defense in this one. Much like the Jags above, their run defense does not travel well and seem to play to the level of their competition from time to time. On the other hand, McNair’s fantasy numbers (since Brian Billick took over the play-calling) have been pretty good on the road and merely average at home. At this would seem to be great evidence that if the Ravens are going to do well, they will have to pass (or score on defense) to win. And pass, they shall, in the second half when they realize that Jamal Lewis will have problems running the ball. And since the Chiefs have been pretty decent in guarding their opponents’ WRs, look for Heap to have a nice game. (In fact, he may be a candidate for two scores.) Either way, look for Heap to find his way to at least 60 yards and a score. I look for Mason to have the best numbers of the WRs, as the opponents’ deep threat has had the most success of the WRs to face the Chiefs. Lastly, I like McNair to account for two scores and 200 passing yards.

Tom Brady/Reche Caldwell/Troy Brown/Ben Watson (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: Patriots
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.3/20.1/7.6

Notes: It took about half a season, but it appears we have found the Patriots’ answer in the quest to replace Deion Branch. Caldwell has been the Pats best fantasy WR over the last four games, scoring 10+ fantasy points in three of those games. As a rule, when the Dolphins struggle on defense, they struggle to stop the pass. That knowledge would seem to make Brady a good start this week, but if he struggles against one team, it is the Dolphins. I suspect that will continue, so expect no more than 200 yards passing and 1-2 scores. Caldwell finally has stayed healthy this year (always his biggest problem while with the Chargers) and it shows, look for 80-90 yards from him. Watson gets a ringing endorsement this week as he has been playing well as of late not to mention that the Dolphins have allowed yards and TDs to the TE position-I like him to find the end zone along with about 50 yards. Brown was the leading WR in the first meeting against Miami, but he has not been involved much in the offensive game plan since that game.

Jon Kitna/Roy Williams/Mike Furrey (vs. MIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Lions
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 13.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 14
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 8.8/20

Notes: Roy Williams was robbed of the opportunity to show his wares against this defense when he was knocked out of the first meeting after three plays due to a stinger. Expect things to be a bit different this time around. Kitna had a fair game the first meeting considering the absence of Williams, but expect Kitna to be a pretty nice start this time around as the running game figures to struggle (as most teams have) against the vaunted Vikings rush defense. Kitna figures to throw his obligatory INT (he’s thrown at least one in every game since Week 2), but he should be good for a minimum of 250 yards and 2 scores. As long as Williams does not have to face double coverage, he is good bet to go off in any game. Minnesota does not double much, if at all, and the Vikings will give up yards and scores in the passing game, so Williams is a good bet for 100+ yards and a TD in this one. Add to that fact #1 WRs have had their way against this defense more often than not and it should make you feel real good to play Williams with confidence. Furrey’s a lesser play this week, but with the passing game figuring to take center stage, he should manage about 80 yards.

Joey Harrington/Chris Chambers/Marty Booker/Randy McMichael (vs. NE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Pats this season: Dolphins
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 5.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 14.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 4.6/15.7/2.1

Notes: The first meeting between these teams was in Week 5, which was Harrington’s first start. He didn’t have a great game in that one and there isn’t much reason to believe he will fare much better this time around. (Jon Kitna’s TD throw was the first one allowed by the Pats pass defense since Week 10.) Chambers’ season has to be among the oddest in recent memory. He’s the 4th most targeted WR in the league (123), yet only 42% of those passes have hit their mark (52). That is easily the worst conversion rate for “top WRs” (outside of Joey Galloway and Randy Moss, obvious QB accuracy issues are to blame in their situations). Keep that nugget tucked away for next year’s drafts…last week’s 100-yard game was his first this season, which marks consecutive weeks this offense has possessed a 100-yard WR. However, with Chambers likely drawing Asante Samuel this week, look for Booker to take best-game honors this time around. McMichael had his one of his best games of the season in the first meeting, but he has not been a significant part of the offense since Week 7. Chambers should not be counted on for more than 60 yards with Booker being the best bet of scoring and being the best fantasy WR performer for the Dolphins this week.

Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Terry Glenn/Jason Witten (vs. NO)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: Ravens
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 26.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 11.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.9/20.4/3.2

Notes: Has any QB in NFL history sandwiched 0 TD passes around a 5-TD game? This is why, in my opinion, Romo cannot be considered a must-start yet. (He’s a good start, just not a must-start.) However, this week should be a good week for the Cowboys QB. I look for Romo to easily surpass the 200 yard mark and throw for a couple scores. Up until the last couple weeks, opposing QBs had feasted on this defense. (The Falcons and Niners passing games will allow a pass defense to catch their breath.) Owens is a must-start as usual, but look for Glenn and Patrick Crayton to have some fun in this game. Glenn may just find his way to at least 70 yards and a score or two. Witten should be in line for about a 50 yard game with a decent (but not great) chance at a red zone TD.

Chris Weinke/Steve Smith/Keyshawn Johnson (vs. NYG)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Texans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 15.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 11.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 17.9/18.6

Notes: Jake Delhomme turned in his finest fantasy numbers of the season last week. (However, it appears he will not play this week.) With the Giants starting to get some defensive starters back and Weinke taking snaps, don’t look for similar numbers this week. I don’t like Weinke for much more than 150 yards and a TD pass-the Giants have been fairly stingy giving up aerial scores since the first few weeks of the season. Without Delhomme, Smith is not an obvious start anymore, although you can’t really remove him from your lineup unless you have two other stellar options. Johnson is even more a roll of the dice, as his role has evolved into that of a red zone threat even though he has accumulated more targets than Smith has since their Week 9 bye (which in part may explain some of their offensive problems). I don’t trust Keyshawn enough to use him as any more than a #3 WR, even though possession WRs have fared fairly well against the Giants. This means a lot of dump-offs to the RBs, screen passes to Smith, and a huge wild-card pick in Drew Carter. Weinke is much more familiar with Carter and, as such, will probably look his way in several tough 3rd-and-long situations.

JP Losman/Lee Evans/Roscoe Parrish (vs. NYJ)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: Bills
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 20.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 36.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 13.5/18.6

Notes: Losman had a pretty fair game against this defense in their Week 3 meeting. The numbers suggest he should be good for one score, but he is probably going to be intercepted a time or two as well as the Jets defense has picked it up after taking some time digesting HC Eric Mangini’s defense. Losman is yet another QB I don’t like to perform all that well this week. Furthermore, Losman has alternated decent and bad fantasy numbers since Week 4-so stay away. Parrish actually had the best numbers of the WRs in the first meeting-both Evans and Parrish topped 100 yards-but it’s really hard to justify playing any WR besides Evans from the Bills passing game, as inconsistent is the nicest word fantasy owners can use in regards to the rest of the WR corps. I like Evans to push 100 yards and a score in this one with minimal contributions from every other Bills WR.

Carson Palmer/Chad Johnson/Doug Houshmandzadeh (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 1.8/5.5

Notes: This will be the sternest test for the young and very good Raiders defensive backfield yet. And believe it or not, this isn’t the greatest week to own part of the Bengals passing game. This is in no way a recommendation to sit any of these players, but I don’t look for a ton of points to come via the air. The Raiders have not given up any more than 23 points since Week 5 and that would be about all I would expect from the Bengals this week. Houshmandzadeh and Chris Henry appear to be the best plays this week, followed by Johnson. I like Palmer for 225 and 1-2 scores, one to Doug and a long one to Henry. Johnson is probably a yardage play only, as #1 receivers such as Andre Johnson and Darrell Jackson have been bottled up by this secondary.

Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Brandon Lloyd/Chris Cooley (vs. PHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: Redskins
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 3.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 6.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.3/13.6/5

Notes: These teams met in Week 10 when Mark Brunell was still leading this team. Amazing how things have changed in just a month. This Eagles defense is the least aggressive, worst-tackling unit they have had under DC Jim Johnson. And in the meantime, this Redskins offense has found a bit of an identity. While not accumulating a ton of yards, Campbell has been steady from a fantasy perspective. As much as the Philly defense should allow a couple scores to Campbell in this game, I think he’ll top out at 175 yards and 1 score. Moss, despite his 100 yard game last week, is not the greatest start as the last #1 WR to post good numbers against the Eagles was Joe Horn in Week 6 (and you can argue Colston-when healthy-is the number #1 WR for the Saints). That means either Brandon Lloyd is a super sleeper this week or Cooley will find the end zone; I say the latter has a better chance of happening. However, as most of the country knows by now, Ladell Betts should be the story of this game, as he makes a great play this week given the huge numbers the Philly defense has allowed to opposing RBs in recent weeks. He may even end up being the leading receiver in this game.

Jay Cutler/Javon Walker/Rod Smith (vs. SD)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: Broncos
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 6.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 11.5/12.6

Notes: (It’s amazing the number of division matchups I am breaking down that have different starting QBs than the first time the teams met…Cutler is yet another one.) Considering it was the rookie’s first start against a fair defense, Cutler did about what was expected. Life gets harder this week though, as Cutler’s decision-making process will likely be sped up by the San Diego defense. Leave Cutler on your bench, as last week’s numbers are about the most you should expect. The chances he will attempt more passes is high, given the Chargers offense will score some points. However, as you may expect, that also increases the chances for more mistakes, which I would also expect in this game from Cutler. Denver will stay run-oriented as long as possible, but expect Cutler to take more downfield shots to Walker as the game progresses. I don’t like the Broncos’ chances of playing particularly well in this game, and as such, would consider every member of the passing game a #2 option at best. Smith should see more opportunities this week as Cutler will need to find his “short guy” on a regular basis, but all in all, it’s not a good week to own anyone from the Broncos passing game.

Brett Favre/Donald Driver/Greg Jennings (vs. SF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the 49ers this season: Rams (2)
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 11.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 19.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 15.2/18.8

Notes: After going three and four game stretches earlier in the season without throwing an INT, Favre has regressed, throwing nearly half of his 12 interceptions (5) over the last two weeks. It also has not helped as only completing 50% of his passes over the last 3 weeks. The Niners have not allowed a QB to throw for more than 252 yards since Week 6. Thus, it is hard to place a solid recommendation on him this week, as he is likely to top out at 225 yards with a TD and an INT. It’s a good bet the Niners will not use the same approach against the Packers as they did last week against the Saints, where they protected themselves deep only to get hammered by the Saints RBs. It would make sense that if Favre is struggling with his accuracy, there is no reason to let everything else beat them. As such, I expect both WRs to put up similar numbers (CB Walt Harris has had a fine season and will probably draw Driver, limiting his effectiveness somewhat), so it is hard to like either for more than 70 yards.

Matt Leinart/Anquan Boldin/Larry Fitzgerald (vs. SEA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Cardinals
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 13.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 22.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 13.3/14.9

Notes: Leinart has not had a 2 TD passing game since Week 6. However, he has been pretty efficient as of late and the Seahawks have shown some vulnerability through the air, although not as much lately. Leinart has accounted for at least one TD in all but one start and scored twice in three of his 8 starts. Lastly, he has only surpassed 250 yards passing in two of his starts, so you know about what you can expect. I look for more of the same in this game, with Leinart accumulating roughly 225 yards passing to go along with 2 scores. The matchup looks particularly nice for Fitzgerald as the opposition’s deep threat tends to get a lot of targets against this defense. I like both Fitzgerald and Boldin to have solid games and look for Fitzgerald to score with #3 WR Bryant Johnson the other recipient.

Rex Grossman/Muhsin Muhammad/Mark Bradley/Desmond Clark (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: Packers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 23.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 10.9/15.2/3.6

Notes: It may be safe to play Grossman this week!!!!! The Rams have only picked off 3 passes since Week 4 and don’t look to turn the trick all that often at Edward Jones Dome this week. They have also allowed at least one passing score in every week since Week 1. I actually like his chances at 225 yards and at least 2 TDs this week. The likely beneficiary: Berrian. The opponent’s deep threat has hit the Rams hard in three of the past four and for most of the season. Look for a good game out of Berrian. Muhammad is a fair play but should only be starting as a flex or #3 WR on fantasy teams this week. The other likely TD scorer should be either Clark or TE John Gilmore. Opposing offenses that make any kind of effort to throw to the TE have found a fair amount of success. The Rams have allowed 5 TE scores since Week 9!!

Michael Vick/Michael Jenkins/Ashley Lelie/Alge Crumpler (vs. TB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season: Falcons
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 26.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 3.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 27/21.7/12.3

Notes: This has been just an awful year for the Bucs defense. They have allowed 4 times as many QB scores as they have interceptions! As such, I like Vick for at least 2 scores, with him throwing for roughly 125 and running for another 100. It’s hard not to like Crumpler for that one throwing score as the Bucs have allowed 4 TE scores over the past 3 weeks. Pencil him in for 40-50 yards as well. Outside of that, it’s becoming more clear that Jenkins is about the only WR Vick can trust with any regularity, thus he is the only WR worth your consideration. Don’t expect more than 60 yards out of him in this game though, as the Falcons should have their way with the Bucs on the ground.

David Carr/Andre Johnson/Eric Moulds/Owen Daniels (vs. TEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: Texans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23.2 (Carr: -0.9; Sage Rosenfels: 24.10
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 16.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 22.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 13.3/18/7.7

Notes: The aforementioned 23.2 came from Rosenfels and his torrid second half vs. the Titans in Week 8. Since their heartbreaking 1-point loss to the Ravens in Week 10, the Titans have been playing much better during their current three-game winning streak. They still give up their fair share of yards, but they are doing a much better job at keeping the opposition from scoring, as they have picked off 2 passes in two of their last 3 games. It’s really hard to like Carr in this game as: 1) he was benched at halftime of the first game and 2) if the Manning brothers, Donovan McNabb, and Jeff Garcia didn’t perform all that well against this defense over the past few weeks, it’s unrealistic to believe Carr will. Johnson looks to rebound from his one catch, 9-yard performance of a week ago. He lit up the Titans up for 78 yards and a TD in the first meeting and I like him for similar numbers this time around. And for those of you looking for a wild-card TE play, you may want to dust off Daniels. He had his memorable 99-yard, 2 TD performance against these same Titans and this defense has been fairly generous to the TE position in general. He may good for 40-50 yards with a short score a possibility.

Jeff Garcia/Donte Stallworth/Reggie Brown/LJ Smith (vs. WAS)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Vikings
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 20.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.8/13.9/7

Notes: Yes, the Eagles have played the Redskins this year. No, they are not the same team. With Garcia behind center, this team has centered itself around the talents of Brian Westbrook. The MNF game vs. the Panthers was a clear indication, however, that Garcia still has a little bit left in the tank. The Redskins have allowed all but one QB to accumulate double-digit numbers this year and Garcia doesn’t figure to be the second one. He has not been intercepted yet and the numbers suggest he probably won’t in this game either (the Redskins defense has 5 INTs all year). As such, Garcia makes a great start, as he is a good bet to eclipse 250 and 2 scores. CB Shawn Springs’ return has quieted down the #1 WR more so than at the beginning of the season, so don’t look for Stallworth to repeat his 19.9 point performance from Week 10. I do like him for 80 yards though. Reggie Brown should benefit as a result, as he should find his way into the end zone. Smith’s absence from the game plan was curious last week. He saw only two balls thrown his way after having 17 passes (including 2 scores) thrown his way in the two weeks prior to the MNF game. Look for him to be more involved this week to the tune of 40 yards with a possible score.

Rushing

RBs: (1 pt per 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 pts for all TDs)

Shaun Alexander (vs. ARI)
Similar RBs that have faced the Cardinals this season: Alexander
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 15.8
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 18.3

Notes: When considering Alexander’s recent history vs. the Cardinals, it is easy to believe that Alexander is the best play of the week. However, I don’t see it that way. Alexander does not look anywhere near as quick as he did last year and while he is still a top RB play this week, I don’t foresee any the numbers he has posted against Arizona in 2005. He should get enough carries to comfortably surpass 100 yards, but I don’t like him for much more than one score, two if he is lucky. Regardless, he’s a #1 RB that needs to be in your lineup.

Cadillac Williams (vs. ATL)
Similar RBs that have faced the Falcons this season: Williams
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 3.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 28.2

Notes: As fantasy owners have known for some time, Williams can only be used this year if the matchup is sparkling. Atlanta nearly qualifies as their run defense had been pretty easy to run on as of late, that being said, it is hard to get excited about any part of the Bucs offense. He should manage average numbers at best, with 80 yards likely to be his optimum output this week.

Larry Johnson (vs. BAL)
Similar RBs that have faced the Ravens this season: Rudi Johnson (2), Deuce McAllister
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 6.4
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 8.3

Notes: This game isn’t the greatest matchup for LJ owners looking to either get in to the playoffs or win their first round game. It’s comforting to know that Johnson get his touches every week, something we can’t count on from much more than about five running backs in fantasy. Only one runner (Travis Henry) has eclipsed the century mark on the ground against this defense and the Ravens have only allowed two RB scores all season. It’s even harder to believe that LJ could go consecutive games without a score, so he could find his way to 100 total yards and a TD. Do not expect anything more (because it is LJ) or you will likely be disappointed.

Cedric Houston/Leon Washington (vs. BUF)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Bills this season: Houston/Washington/Kevan Barlow
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 23.8
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 30

Notes: The Jets may have found a running game. Conveniently, in comes the second-worst defense vs. opposing fantasy RBs. The Bills have allowed at least 130 rushing yards each week since Week 7. Washington had only 9 touches in the first meeting, but still managed 77 total yards. That should be a reasonable amount to expect this week as well. Houston should make for a top 15-20 RB play this week, coming on the heels of a 129 total yard, 2 TD performance against the Packers. Buffalo should not offer much more resistance, so Houston should be counted on for at least 80-90 rushing yards and one score.

Tiki Barber/Brandon Jacobs (vs. CAR)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Panthers this season: Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 15.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 14.7

Notes: The Panthers defense has been much better at home this season vs. opposing fantasy RBs than on the road. And power backs like Jacobs have been a bit more successful than the fleet-footed RBs have. Barber has been held under 100 yards rushing and 4 yards/carry in three straight games. Don’t look for streak to end this week, but as always, Barber should find a way to manage 110-120 total yards. Even though the Panthers have only allowed 6 total RB scores all season, look for Jacobs to score at least once and add in another 30-40 total yards.

Steven Jackson (vs. CHI)
Similar RBs that have faced the Bears this season: Kevin Jones, Ronnie Brown
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 11.6
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 19.1

Notes: Since S Mike Brown’s season-ending Achilles’’ injury in Week 6, the Bears defense has been incredibly fantasy RB friendly, allowing an average of 162 total yards to the position since Week 8. Now with DT Tommie Harris out for this MNF game, look for Jackson to take advantage. Because Jackson is averaging 137.5 total yards/game, it would stand to reason he should be a good bet for that 140-150 total yards in this game. Amazingly, if Jackson averages 7 catches/game over his last four games, he will reach 100 receptions this season!! (He has averaged 8 catches/game over his last five games.) I look for Jackson to have a great game on national TV, complimenting 140 total yards with at least one score, as the Rams will need to feed Jackson the ball regularly to keep the vaunted Chicago pass rush at bay.

Justin Fargas (vs. CIN)
Similar RBs that have faced the Bengals this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 13.6

Notes: If you have read this column the past few weeks, you already have a pretty good idea that Oakland is a fantasy wasteland this season, with the exception of their defense. Last week, ReShard Lee came out of the backfield to total 79 yards and Fargas scored the TD. Either way, with the Bengals defense playing better (particularly tackling in the running game), there is no player on this team worth a play this week.

Deuce McAllister/Reggie Bush (vs. DAL)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Cowboys this season: Brandon Jacobs/Tiki Barber
FF Points vs. similar committees: 22.6
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 16.7

Notes: Not knowing how healthy the Saints leading WRs (Horn, Colston) are going into this game directly affects how much work this backfield will get this weekend. If either one or both can play, I expect the passing game to be featured with Bush probably matching McAllister in the fantasy point column. If not, Bush will be split out at WR on a regular basis and will probably put up another 100 yard receiving performance. For those fantasy teams that have both players, Bush is probably the better play in either situation as the all-purpose RBs on the Cowboys schedule have fared better than the power backs have. However, both players are definitely worth playing as #2 RBs.

LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. DEN)
Similar RBs that have faced the Broncos this season: Tomlinson
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 41.9
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 30.3

Notes: While it is hard to expect Tomlinson to match his 4 TD performance from their last meeting, he will undoubtedly have much success in this game. With LB Al Wilson probably limited, it further weakens a defense that got whipped in the first meeting. Expect something in the neighborhood of 150 total yards to go along with 2-3 scores.

Chester Taylor/Ciatrick Fason (vs. DET)
Similar RBs that have faced the Lions this season: Taylor
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 15.4
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 20.5

Notes: Taylor is now listed as doubtful for this game. If Taylor does in fact sit, Fason is among the top 10-15 starts of this week, just as Taylor would be. Fason is an accomplished short yardage runner, so he would be the man in the red zone as well. In fact, I would expect pretty similar numbers from Fason this week as I would expect from Taylor against this defense. Mewelde Moore may relieve Fason more than he would Taylor, but Fason is a pretty good bet for at least 120 total yards and a score.

Frank Gore (vs. GB)
Similar RBs that have faced the Packers this season: Kevin Jones
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 18.5
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 29.9

Notes: This defense has gone from not allowing a single 100-yard rusher all season to allowing Shaun Alexander to rush for 200 and Cedric Houston to hit 100 and score twice. Furthermore, the Packers have allowed over 2000 total yards and 11 scores to opposing RBs on the season. Their struggles against the pass are well documented already. In short, this is a bad defense. Gore has been pretty solid all year, rushing for 5.5 yards/carry, so there is a lot to like in this matchup. Since the Packers offense has struggled as of late, the Niners should be able to stick with the run all game. You can probably expect at least 120 total yards and a score from Gore this week, and that is probably on the low end.

Travis Henry (vs. HOU)
Similar RBs that have faced the Texans this season: Henry
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 2.9
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 14.5

Notes: It is surprising considering the way the Titans have been playing lately that most of their players struggled in their first meeting with the Texans. Don’t expect it to happen a second time. Houston has some talented rookies that will make this unit a pretty good one down the road, but Mario Williams and DeMeco Ryans cannot do it all themselves, considering how many of their defensive starters (to begin the year) are now out for the year. As such, Henry should be a safe bet to top the 29 yards he rushed for in the first meeting. It’s hard not to like him for 100 yards rushing in this one, but the Texans have allowed only 3 runners to hit that mark this season, which is somewhat of a surprise. We’ll settle for 80-90 yards rushing, 10-20 yards receiving, and at least one short yardage score.

Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. IND)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Colts this season: Taylor/Drew
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 27.3
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 23.5

Notes: Much like Julius Jones in Dallas, Taylor is the starter in reality. However, the RB you want is his backup (it feels weird just typing that). Only twice since Week 2 has Jones-Drew not hit for double-digit fantasy points, so he has been a very solid #2 RB for most of the year. Taylor’s consistency-in comparison to his backfield mate-has been a bit up-and-down. Because this is Colts’ week, both backs should make very nice #2 RB plays. The Jags like to play keep-away from the Colts, so expect the 27.3 number mentioned above to be a realistic number for this game as well. Taylor will push for 100 total yards as he normally does, but a score is pretty unlikely. Drew, on the other hand, will likely match that 100 total yard mark and score at least once.

Joseph Addai/Dominic Rhodes (vs. JAX)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Jags this season: Addai/Rhodes
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 7.6
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 12.2

Notes: Two things I keep repeating about this defense: Where is the game being played and who is their competition? If the answers are home and a good team, then the players facing the Jags defense are not great plays. This includes the running game, which has really become a head-scratcher when you consider Addai has shown time and time again he should be getting more than just a split of the touches. (He likely will next year, but fantasy owners want next year now!) It’s hard getting too excited about either back this week considering the timeshare and the competition, but Addai should have the better game. The Jags have only allowed six rushing scores on the season, so it’s hard to say either back will cross the stripe in this one. Both backs are probably #3 RB plays (or best left on your bench) this week.

Jamal Lewis (vs. KC)
Similar RBs that have faced the Chiefs this season: Rudi Johnson
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 16.3
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 14.6

Notes: Run defense should be portable (meaning that run defense should remain consistent no matter where the game is played). What we are seeing with a number of teams-including the Chiefs-is that their pass defense does not struggle near as much home and road as the run defense does. Luckily, the Chiefs are at home this week, which makes Lewis a #2 RB play, by the numbers. That being said, power backs have given the Chiefs some trouble this year, so with the number of carries he is likely to see, Lewis should be good for 70 rushing yards and a short TD run.

Corey Dillon/Laurence Maroney (vs. MIA)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Dolphins this season: Dillon/Maroney
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 8.3
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 14.9

Notes: We knew from Week 1 that this would be a timeshare situation. However, I’m sure we expected more than one individual 100-yard rushing performance by this time of the season. The Dolphins have been pretty solid vs. the run (two-100 yard rushing performers all season, allowing less than 4 yards/carry), so don’t look for that to change this week, regardless of whether or not Maroney can play. Considering the Dolphins have allowed 6 RB scores all season, it doesn’t look good that this committee will score more than once in this game. Expect Dillon to see the majority of carries this week, meaning he should responsible for 50-60 rushing yards and one short yardage score. Maroney would be a risky play this week due to the fact that he is recovering from a concussion.

Kevin Jones (vs. MIN)
Similar RBs that have faced the Vikings this season: Jones
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 5
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 5.1

Notes: Expect Air Martz to return this week. Jones ran for a grand total of 8 yards in their first meeting and the Vikings are by far the #1 rushing defense in the league. Jones will still be involved in the passing game, but he is a low-end #2 RB this week at best. It’s hard to see him reaching 60-70 total yards and a score is highly unlikely. (Interesting note: Not one RB has combined for 100 total yards against this defense. DeAngelo Williams has the distinction of being the highest total yardage gainer at 98. The next best is Willis McGahee’s 82.)

Sammy Morris (vs. NE)
Similar RBs that have faced the Pats this season: Willis McGahee (2)
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 10.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 13.3

Notes: The Patriots run defense has fallen off a bit over the past couple weeks, undoubtedly, they miss LB Junior Seau and continue to miss S Rodney Harrison. So they have definitely fallen off from an elite run-stopping unit to just a pretty good one. Because this should remain a close game throughout, Morris should be in line for more than the 15 touches he saw last week, however, that doesn’t make him a great play; cap your expectations at 60-70 total yards. Expect the passing game to be featured in this game, meaning Harrington, Booker, and Chambers are the Dolphins you want to consider in your lineup this week.

Julius Jones/Marion Barber (vs. NO)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Saints this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 13.3

Notes: Despite the Saints struggles on defense throughout most of the season, their run defense has held up pretty well, allowing only 6 RB scores all season although they have allowed their fair share of yards. Dallas counters with the fifth-best running attack (total fantasy RB points scored). Assuming DT Hollis Thomas is not suspended, don’t look for that to change. If he is re-suspended, expect the Saints run defense to be a bit more fantasy-friendly each week. Barber remains the best play of this bunch as this offense (and Barber’s stock) has really taken off since Tony Romo was promoted. In fact, Barber has really played like a #1 RB since that time. He is the 6th best fantasy RB over the past three weeks and the 7th best over the last five. Expect at least another 50-60 rushing yards and one score. Jones hasn’t scored since Week 8 and will likely only score if he can break a long run. That kind of thing is fairly hard to predict, so figure Jones as a low-end #2 RB at best. Pencil him in for 50 yards.

DeShaun Foster/DeAngelo Williams (vs. NYG)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Giants this season: Joseph Addai/ Dominic Rhodes, Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 20.4
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 17.9

Notes: As fantasy owners have come to expect from rookie RBs, Williams has a brilliant all-around game on national TV and could be standing on the sidelines the next week. Foster will start if he can go. The Giants have been pretty good stopping the run this year, as they are one of eight teams that have yet to allow 1000 yards rushing. As such, expect the Panthers to struggle as well, especially considering Jake Delhomme’s current status. Chris Weinke wouldn’t likely command enough respect to stop the Giants from loading up on the run game. Foster should probably find the bench on his fantasy teams with Williams the more likely candidate to do significant damage against this defense. I really don’t like either RB this week, but Williams is the better play. The only question is how many touches he will get, which is why he should find your bench as well.

Willis McGahee (vs. NYJ)
Similar RBs that have faced the Jets this season: McGahee
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 15.3
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 17

Notes: It’s pretty incredible that the Jets continue to win despite their struggles stopping the run-they have allowed the 4th most rushing yards in the league. What has been key to their recent winning ways is the fact they have not allowed a RB score since their Week 9 bye week. (They had allowed 12 RB scores in the eight weeks prior.) It is funny how McGahee has scored three times over his last 28 carries-since his return from his rib injury-after scoring once in his first 154 totes. If McGahee can play this weekend (questionable with a sprained ankle), he should be a pretty good bet to push 100 yards, but scoring is hardly a good bet for anyone on this offense this season. McGahee has owned the Jets lately, rushing for at least 100 yards in his last four games against the team. As such, he makes an average #2 RB play. If Thomas needs to carry the load, his stats would be nearly identical.

Rudi Johnson (vs. OAK)
Similar RBs that have faced the Raiders this season: Jamal Lewis, Reuben Droughns
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 8.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 25.7

Notes: If anything speaks to where the Raiders need to focus some of their energies in the off-season, look no further than the fact that the Raiders typically play man-up all game on opposing WRs, leaving eight men in the box the majority of the time, and they still struggle stopping the run. Despite having the numbers in their favor against the run on just about every play, they still allow the 12th-most points to fantasy RBs. As expected, Johnson should definitely be in line for one of his best games of the season this week, as the Bengals will probably be able to get that extra safety out of the box when Chris Henry is on the field. Johnson has only scored 2 TDs in one game this year, so it is hard to expect that in this game. However, Rudi should be a pretty safe bet for 80-90 total yards and a really good bet for at least one score.

Ladell Betts (vs. PHI)
Similar RBs that have faced the Eagles this season: Betts
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 9.1
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 35.2

Notes: Betts has eclipsed 100 rushing yards in his last two games and it would be a major shock if he did not do so again this week. The Eagles have allowed 20+ fantasy points to the last three feature backs they have faced, with Betts coincidentally being the last one not to accomplish the feat. He should be a top 10 RB play this week, as 130 total yards and a score are very likely.

Tatum Bell (vs. SD)
Similar schemes that have faced the Chargers this season: Broncos
FF Points vs. similar scheme: 22.7 (Mike Bell)
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 19.7

Notes: Despite facing Denver less than 3 weeks ago, circumstances will be quite different from a fantasy point of view. Tatum Bell will play this time and Shawne Merriman will be in uniform as well. DE Luis Castillo could return as well, making just about everybody in a Bronco uniform a dicey play this week. You probably cannot afford to bench Bell this week, but it is hard to imagine Bell topping 80 rushing yards against a Chargers defense at full strength.

Ahman Green (vs. SF)
Similar RBs that have faced the 49ers this season: Kevin Jones
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 9.5
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 29.8

Notes: In what has been a rollercoaster year for the Packers offense, Green has been pretty steady, relatively speaking. He has seven double-digit fantasy performances to his credit as well as five 100-yard rushing games. The Niners-especially after last week’s debacle-is a fantasy back’s best friend as they have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing RBs. They have allowed over 2000 total yards and 17 scores this season, all of which makes Green a top 10 play this week. I like Green for 140-150 total yards and at least one score this week.

Edgerrin James (vs. SEA)
Similar RBs that have faced the Seahawks this season: Cardinals
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 9.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 21.8

Notes: As if James owners didn’t already feel they were getting the shaft before last week, Marcel Shipp decided to play the role of Dominic Rhodes (in years past) and steal James’ three short yardage scoring opportunities. And while James nearly topped 100 total yards in the first meeting, don’t look for similar numbers this time around. James should get his usual workload, but I get the feeling the Cardinals will be able to move the ball more easily through the air this time around. It’s hard for me to foresee anything more than 80 total yards and a score for James as I look for the Seahawks to play one of their better games of the year.

Thomas Jones (vs. STL)
Similar RBs that have faced the Rams this season: Maurice Morris (2)
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 9.2
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 29.7

Notes: Let’s face facts; the Rams run defense has been horrid. They allowed Edgerrin James’ first 100-yard game as a Cardinal and have allowed their last six opponents to feature a 100-yard rusher. Additionally, the lowest fantasy point they have allowed to a starting RB (outside of Morris) is 12.4. Therefore, it is hard to not like Jones for at least 110 rushing yards and a score. Cedric Benson has been grabbing 8-10 carries on a fairly regular basis lately (and has actually been the better fantasy back the last two weeks) and makes for a good flex play. He should be a good bet for 50 yards although I don’t like his chances so much for a score this time around.

Warrick Dunn (vs. TB)
Similar RBs that have faced the Bucs this season: Dunn
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 13.4
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 15.5

Notes: In the latest installment of a RB vs. his former team, Dunn seems to be feeling the wear-and-tear of the season, as some nagging pains have limited the explosion that he showed in the season’s first half. In fact, it’s starting to look like Jerious Norwood might be a better play. Either way, Dunn has not had a 100-yard rushing game since Week 6 and if there is one thing the Bucs defense has done fairly well this year, it is that they have limited the effectiveness of opposing running games more often than not. (The last 100-yard rusher against this defense was Brian Westbrook in Week 7.) They have allowed only 5 rushing TDs all season, but have allowed 5 receiving scores by RBs as well, which has skewed the overall fantasy numbers of the Bucs vs. opposing runners. In all, look for Dunn and Norwood to put pretty similar numbers (say 60-70 rushing yards), with Norwood the better bet for a score.

Wali Lundy/Ron Dayne (vs. TEN)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Titans this season: Lundy/Dayne
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 18.2
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 22.8

Notes: Tennessee’s run defense has been the very definition of “average” from a fantasy perspective for most of the season. Only Tomlinson has eclipsed 20 fantasy points against this defense, but the lowest fantasy point total they have allowed to a team’s top rusher is 8.5. Lundy had one of his best games of his rookie season in the first meeting. Surprisingly, Lundy has been a fairly consistent #2 fantasy RB performer, scoring less than 7.9 fantasy points only once since Week 7. HC Gary Kubiak recently called Dayne his “second half back”; however, we have been down this road before. Lundy is the best play here, but only play him out of desperation. Kubiak is working the Shanahan RB system with his backfield and as such, it is hard to be too loyal with any of these RBs if the coach isn’t. With the way the Texans offense is playing, nobody is a sure bet for a score, so cap your expectations at 60-70 total yards for Lundy. And don’t play Dayne…he might carry the ball 0, 5, or 20 times. That’s hardly a ringing endorsement of his status.

Brian Westbrook (vs. WAS)
Similar RBs that have faced the Redskins this season: Westbrook
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 15
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 22.1

Notes: Much like a couple of the defenses mentioned above, the Redskins have been pretty generous in allowing RBs to pile up the yards, but they have been pretty tough to score on (6 RB scores all season). Westbrook totaled 150 yards in the first meeting four weeks ago and that is about what should be expected this time around. Last week, Westbrook had 22 touches, his fewest since Week 8. As long as he stays healthy, Westbrook should get 22-25 touches each week and is a pretty good bet for at least 120 yards each week from here on out.