Wide Receivers
6/18/08
A lot can change between the end of a season and the start of training
camps. One significant item that affects every fantasy players’
potential for the upcoming season is their health, or lack thereof.
Have you ever drafted that tantalizing but injury-prone human highlight
reel only to be hung out to dry when he yet again tweaks a hamstring?
He will be listed as doubtful each game of the season, rack up less
than a dozen catches and cause many times more headaches. On the
flipside, an otherwise healthy player that missed the second half
of 2007 may be undervalued in your league as health concerns and
fading memories of past glory cause his fantasy value to plummet.
The question is: which players coming off the injury report are
good prospects for the upcoming season? And, even more importantly,
which ones are on the short list to avoid along with Jessica Simpson
and New England Patriots’ ethics meetings? Without their
health, football players cannot produce, no matter how talented
they are, how great the supporting staff around them, or how perfect
the situation. Checking the doctor’s report on this year’s
batch of players with both questionable health and some fantasy
relevance is the first step in evaluating their prospects for
the season.
On the Stretcher
Player: Brandon Marshall
Team: Denver Broncos
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
After a mishap involving “consensual horseplay”, a discarded
McDonalds bag, and a large and very sharp television (and, just
possibly, a lot of beer?), Marshall had off-season arm surgery.
While his return is expected before the start of training camp,
there was significant nerve damage in his right hand and forearm.
Considering his history of stupidity, be cautious until he is
actually catching balls with both hands in contact drills. Meanwhile,
monitor the progress of free agent Keary Colbert who Mike Shannahan
gave early praise on his approach to the game and athletic rookie
Eddie Royal, who Jay Cutler said had much better hands than advertised.
Bum knees make Harrison a fantasy question
mark in '08.
Player: Marvin
Harrison
Team: Indianapolis Colts
Regular Season Games Played in 2007:
5
The 35-year old receiver had arthroscopic surgery on his right
knee this past January. Interestingly, his left knee is the one
that cost him eleven games last season. Throw in the NFL standard
off-season night club shooting and Mr. Consistency suddenly has
a lot of questions swirling around him. Reggie Wayne and Indy’s
stable of pass catchers can carry the load if Harrison decides
it is time to hang up his cleats. Anthony Gonzalez would be the
short term solution and Roy Hall is developing at a pace that
he might warrant consideration off the waiver wire.
Player: Deion Branch
Team: Seattle Seahawks
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 11
A torn ACL will keep him out until at least mid-season. Expect
him to start on the PUP list and, depending how quickly his rehab
goes, end up either on Injured Reserve or possibly suiting up
for the final few games of the season. Either way, he is a guy
to monitor, not draft. That leaves Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram,
and the Auburn tandem of Obomanu and Taylor to fill the void.
Burleson has the hands, route skills, and ability after the catch
to be an every down threat. Obomanu can stretch the field and
Taylor is a bigger, younger version of Engram.
Player: Javon Walker
Team: Oakland Raiders
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 8
Walker arrived in Oakland with a pair of cranky knees and an
extra few pounds around his midsection. Not only does he need
to get in shape, he has to prove to the world he can regain his
former burst on a couple bum wheels. Throw in a beatdown that
left him unconscious on a Las Vegas street Monday and you've got
a receiver that's in a world of hurt. If your starters this year
feature the fantasy connection of Russell to Walker, start hauling
your crap down to the basement. But opposing defenses will be
trying to take away the run and force Russell to beat them and
that means Ronald Curry isn’t a bad mid-to-late round selection
as a bye week option.
Player: Terry Glenn
Team: Dallas Cowboys
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 1
When your team is demanding you sign an injury waiver before
being allowed to practice, the end is near. Glenn wants to try
playing this season, but may need season-ending surgery before
the season even begins. No one is counting on the Dallas wideout
to participate this year. His status is mostly significant because
of its impact on Terrell Owens and Patrick Crayton.
The Walking Wounded
Player: Andre Johnson
Team: Houston Texans
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 9
AJ had his troublesome left knee scoped in May. The team reported
the procedure to be purely precautionary, but teams have been
known to stretch the truth concerning these sorts of things. Johnson
is currently on-track for the start of training camp, but will
be missing all other team work. This probably won’t turn into
a real problem, but owners considering Johnson as a top five receiver
must keep an eye on that knee. Kevin Walter filled in admirably
and watch the rehab of Jacoby Jones who, all too briefly, looked
great in limited time last year.
Player: Plaxico Burress
Team: New York Giants
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
Burress displayed amazing toughness playing through various shoulder,
knee, and ankle injuries in last year’s drive to the Super Bowl.
He is not expected to participate in any team activities until
training camp opens as he continues to rehab his body and, even
then, may not be at full strength. If he doesn’t get a new contract,
his health may be a moot point, as Burress seems content to sit
out until he gets paid. Steve Smith will get a chance to show
he’s more than a possession receiver if the Giants don’t budge.
Player: Hines Ward
Team: Pittsburgh Steelers
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 13
Ward played through tears in his PCL, MCL, and meniscus last
year, explaining his relative lack of production and further cementing
his place as one of the toughest receivers in the NFL. He is still
limited, but should be able to go full speed in the next few weeks.
That many knee injuries and his location on the wrong side of
30 make for some lingering concerns until we see him cutting and
taking some hits.
Discharged From the Hospital
Player: Braylon Edwards
Team: Cleveland Browns
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
He suffered a hip pointer last month and missed a couple weeks
of work. Edwards is currently practicing normally and is good
to go. He is a virtual lock for another 1,000 yards and double-digit
touchdown effort this season, assuming wonder boy Derek Anderson
continues to shine.
Player: Lee Evans
Team: Buffalo Bills
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
An offseason shoulder operation will limit him until training
camp. However, he should be fine by then. If you have a burning
desire to own one of the more talented and completely inconsistent
receivers in the NFL, Evans will be ready for you. Enjoy those
two monster games sandwiched between numerous three catch, 25
yard outings.
Player: Marques Colston
Team: New Orleans Saints
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
Heading into his third year, Colston had arthroscopic knee surgery
and minor hand surgery over the winter while rehabbing a chronically
sore back from last year. Luckily, all these are minor issues
and he is practicing fully, looking to be 100% recovered. His
second year was highly successful with 98 catches for 1,202 yards
and 11 touchdowns. If he has a third-year breakout, his numbers
may truly be amazing.
Player: Roy
Williams
Team: Detroit Lions
Regular Season Games Played in 2007:
12
Williams is fully recovered from the PCL tear suffered late last
year. How the departure of Mad Mike Martz affects the passing
game is the bigger question. Add in the standard Detroit player
turnover and the annual Jon Kitna playoff guarantee and Williams
should be able to squeak out another 1,000 yard season, although
his owners would appreciate some more touchdowns.
Welker: Injury...what injury?
Player: Wes Welker
Team: New England Patriots
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 16
In typical New England style, Welker missed the first couple
days of minicamp with an undisclosed injury. He may have stubbed
his toe or broken both legs and both would be “undisclosed”.
It was probably nothing, but Bill Belichick loves his cloak and
dagger injury report games.
Player: Joey Galloway
Team: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 15
Shoulder surgery will keep him from being a full participant
at off-season activities, but he is expected to be completely
recovered before training camp begins. Being 36 years old, Galloway
doesn’t really need the extra snaps or abuse on his body.
The fact that he is still far and away the best receiver in Tampa
says a lot about their receiving corps.
Player: Calvin Johnson
Team: Detroit Lions
Regular Season Games Played in 2007: 15
The back injury that limited him for much of last year is still
a lingering concern. Johnson was reportedly popping pain killers
during games just to stay on the field. The condition is still
there, but markedly improved, and hopefully will not restrict
the second-year receiver who was good enough to average an impressive
15.8 yards per catch as a rookie.
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