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Weekly Insights: Wk 4
9/28/06

If you drafted the Oakland Raiders’ skill-position fantasy trio, you struck out.

Strike 1 – LaMont Jordan. Strike 2 – Randy Moss. Strike 3 (you swung and missed at pitch that fell 6 feet short of the plate) – Aaron Brooks.

While the preseason expectations were low for Brooks, owners whom drafted Jordan and Moss were counting on much more from them.

So, what should you do with Jordan and Moss? As frustrated as you may be with the duo, hang on to them. Don’t get suckered into trading either for sub-par players or don’t make a knee-jerk reaction and drop either of them. Here’s why:

Trade values can’t get any lower: Jordan has 55 rushing yards on 29 carries for a microscopic 1.9-yard average and has yet to catch a pass, making him the biggest fantasy bust of the season after he was drafted among the top 10 in many preseason drafts. Moss has six catches for 79 yards. Neither has a touchdown. Nobody in your league likely will give up a player who currently is excelling for Jordan or Moss, whom have given their owners essentially nothing in the Raiders’ two games.

A favorable schedule is coming up: Jordan and Moss have struggled against two of the top defenses in the league – San Diego and Baltimore. With Cleveland coming up this week and San Francisco next week, the opportunity will be there for both to come out of hibernation. If they struggle in the next two weeks, then their owners can start to panic and consider getting what they can in a trade or waiver-wire pickup.

The potential still is high: Any player that can be acquired through a trade or a waiver-wire pickup probably doesn’t have the upside that Jordan and Moss do. Jordan gained more than 1,500 total yards, scored 11 touchdowns and was the league’s leading receiver at running back last season with 70 receptions. Moss, meanwhile, recorded a 1,000-yard season with eight touchdowns while battling injuries. Both still have the talent to excel. Both still will be a big part of the Raiders’ offense. Both will be crutches for new starting quarterback Andrew Walter (or Brooks if he regains his starting job when he’s healthy) as Oakland’s only offensive threats.

Hot Read
Maurice Morris, Seattle: When the starting running back of the defending NFC champions becomes available, you have to pick him up. Morris takes over as the Seahawks’ starter after fantasy-stud Shaun Alexander sustained an ankle injury. In limited duty in his five years with Seattle, he’s averaged 4.5 yards per carry and has shown the ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. Don’t expect Alexander-type numbers from Morris, but with matchups against St. Louis and Kansas City likely and a possible game against Oakland, the fifth-year player safely can be started as a No. 2 fantasy running back.

Broken Play(er)
Chris Chambers, Miami: Some guy named Wes Welker has more receptions and receiving yards on the Dolphins than Chambers. The acquisition of quarterback Daunte Culpepper was supposed to take Chambers to an elite level. Instead, the former University of Wisconsin product has just 153 receiving yards and one touchdown. Last week, Chambers had 39 receiving yards against the pathetic Tennessee pass defense. This week, Miami takes on Houston’s weak defense. If Chambers and Culpepper can’t find the chemistry to light up the Texans, the Dolphins’ passing game may never get going.

Off The Bench
L.J. Smith, Philadelphia: The tight end faces Green Bay and its struggling pass defense that ranks second-to-last with 301 passing yards allowed per game. Smith leads the Eagles with 16 receptions and should be a big part of Philadelphia’s passing game against Green Bay on Monday night.

Safe Bet
Steve McNair, Baltimore: The veteran quarterback will be held to less than 200 passing yards against San Diego’s No. 1-ranked passing defense that has allowed a stingy 102.5 yards per game. McNair has struggled with his accuracy (55.4 percent completion percentage) against Tampa Bay, Oakland and Cleveland, so a matchup against the Chargers is one fantasy owners should avoid.

Extra Point
If you own Tennessee running back Chris Brown, drop him and take your chances on a waiver-wire player with potential. Brown’s potential is extremely limited because he has to battle for carries with Travis Henry and LenDale White, he’s injury-prone, and he plays for the awful Titans’ offense.