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Weekly Insights: Wk 15
12/14/06

The next two weeks are either the most exciting or depressing weeks for fantasy football players.

If you made your league’s playoffs, you likely cancelled any plans you had for Sunday and plan on sitting on the couch and watching games all day in anticipation of every scoring update. If you missed your league’s playoffs, you’re pouting and thinking, “what if I had picked up this player or what if I hadn’t made this trade or what if this player didn’t get hurt?”

Fantasy league playoffs have owners analyzing their lineups more than ever. Who should I start? Who should I sit?

Start your studs, no matter what their matchup is. Stick with the stud players who got you in the playoffs and don’t get cute and start sub-par players just because they have a better matchup.

Here are some non-stud players that you should consider starting and sitting this week:

Start ’em

Jeff Garcia, QB, Philadelphia: Owners of Donovan McNabb who picked up Garcia are grinning ear to ear. Garcia has seven touchdown passes in his three starts and faces the New York Giants’ 29th-ranked pass defense this week that has allowed an average of 295 yards per game in the last four weeks.

Others: Steve McNair, QB, Baltimore; Rex Grossman, QB, Chicago; Ahman Green, RB, Green Bay; RB Edgerrin James, RB, Arizona; Donte' Stallworth, WR, Philadelphia; Laveranues Coles, WR, N.Y. Jets.

Sleepers: Jon Kitna, QB, Detroit; Sammy Morris, RB, Miami; Justin Fargas, RB, Oakland; Desmond Clark, TE, Chicago.

Sit ’em

Joseph Addai, RB, Indianapolis: The rookie faces Cincinnati, which has allowed a stingy 133 rushing yards and no touchdowns to running backs in the last three weeks. The Bengals’ pass defense is ranked last in the NFL, so it’s likely the Colts will be passing much more often than running. Last week against Jacksonville’s stout run defense, Addai recorded just 22 rushing yards. Also, Addai (27 carries) has been splitting the carries with Dominic Rhodes (20 carries) the last two weeks. If you have a similar-talent option on your bench, sit Addai.

Others: Marc Bulger, QB, St. Louis; Eli Manning, QB, N.Y. Giants; Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego; Travis Henry, RB, Tennessee; Willis McGahee, RB, Buffalo; Carnell Williams, RB, Tampa Bay; Lee Evans, WR, Buffalo; Chris Chambers, WR, Miami; Joey Galloway, WR, Tampa Bay; Ben Watson, TE, New England.

Hot Read

D.J. Hackett, WR, Seattle: Do you own Darrell Jackson and are looking for a replacement? Just take a glance down the Seahawks’ depth chart, and you’ll find a solid substitute while Jackson is out with a toe injury. Hackett collected four catches, 104 yards and a touchdown last week against Arizona and this week could get plenty of opportunities against San Francisco’s 24th-ranked pass defense at home.

Broken Play(er)

Javon Walker, WR, Denver: The Bronco hasn’t scored in the last four weeks and has just six catches for 69 yards in the two weeks with rookie Jay Cutler at quarterback. However, Walker has a great matchup this week against Arizona’s 30th-ranked pass defense that has allowed seven touchdowns to wide receivers in the last three weeks. Start Walker and look for him to break out of his slump.

Off The Bench

Ahman Green, RB, Green Bay: Last week, Minnesota backup Artose Pinner gashed Detroit for 125 yards and three touchdowns. This week, Green gets his shot at the Lions’ 23rd-ranked rush defense at home. Green gained 131 total yards with a receiving touchdown against Detroit in Week 3 and should record his second solid game of the season against the struggling Lions this week.

Safe Bet

Tony Romo, QB, Dallas: Look for the Cowboy to rebound from his second straight shaky outing last week in Dallas’ lopsided loss to New Orleans. The Cowboys face Atlanta’s 31st-ranked pass defense, giving Romo a good shot to approach 250 yards and two touchdowns.

Extra Point

If you’re having trouble deciding on which wide receivers you should start, consider whom your opponent has at quarterback. If your opponent’s quarterback is a teammate of your wide receivers, start that receiver and every time he catches a pass from that quarterback, you’ll have the point advantage in most league’s scoring systems.