The Jets have pivoted from Aaron Rodgers into a nearly completely
opposite experiment with Justin Fields. They seem set on embracing
a dynamic, mobile quarterback to revamp what has been a stagnant
offense in recent seasons.
Fields showed flashes of elite fantasy potential in 2024, averaging
21.4 FPts/G across his six full games with the Steelers, with
a floor of 12.6 points and a high of 37.1 points (312 passing
yards, 1 passing TD, 55 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs). His rushing
ability makes him a high-upside QB often being drafted as a low-end
QB1 or high-end QB2.
However, inconsistency in his passing ability and the risk of
being benched (with Tyrod Taylor as the primary backup) are concerns.
In Superflex or 2QB leagues, Fields’ volatility requires
caution, but his rushing floor makes him a compelling draft target,
potentially as high as QB7, in normal seasonal leagues. Fields
is very much a risk, but he’s one of the few outside the
top five QBs who could be a true difference maker if all things
break right for him in 2025.
After a disappointing 2024 which saw him finish as the RB16,
Breece Hall’s fantasy stock has dipped, with his ADP now
reflecting a low-end RB1 or high-end RB2. Despite a career-high
68.8% opportunity share, Hall saw competition from rookies Braelon
Allen and Isaiah Davis which led him to be less productive in
the more fantasy point-producing situations.
The Jets’ run-heavy approach under new head coach Aaron
Glenn and OC Tanner Engstrand should benefit Hall, but Justin
Fields’ rushing and a possible committee backfield could
cap his volume. Hall’s receiving role (top five in routes
run among RBs in each of the past two seasons) may take a hit
with Fields, who historically targets RBs less frequently. Still,
Hall’s talent and nose for the end zone make him a decent
low-end RB1 with upside, especially at his reduced cost.
Braelon Allen emerged as a short-yardage threat in 2024, highlighted
by a big performance in Week 2 when he scored two touchdowns in
just his second professional game. This breakout performance turned
out to be fool’s gold, however, as many fantasy managers
scrambled to acquire the rookie before realizing that he was still
firmly stuck behind Breece Hall in the Jets’ backfield.
Allen never reached double-digit fantasy points in another game
in 2024.
With the Jets potentially leaning toward a three-man committee,
Allen is the likely No. 2 option behind Hall. If Hall misses time,
Allen would lead a committee approach, making him a valuable handcuff
in deeper leagues. His role in a run-first offense under Glenn
and Engstrand makes him an intriguing late-round flier, though
his standalone value is limited unless Hall goes down.
Garrett Wilson is poised for a massive 2025, with Davante Adams’
departure to the Rams leaving him as the unquestioned WR1. Wilson’s
2024 season (101 catches, 1,104 yards, 7 TDs) allowed him to showcase
his ability to produce despite quarterback struggles. With Fields,
his college teammate, now at QB, Wilson could realistically see
140-150 targets, potentially even leading the NFL in target share.
The Jets simply do not have another proven pass-catching producer
in the offense, other than low-tier veterans like Josh Reynolds
and running back Breece Hall who is solid for a player coming
out of the backfield but certainly won’t push Wilson for targets.
While Fields’ inconsistent passing adds some risk, he does
have history of delivering the fantasy goods to at least his top
target. DJ Moore quietly finished as the WR6 in 2023 despite Fields’
struggles, suggesting that Wilson could thrive, especially in
the slot-heavy scheme of OC Tanner Engstrand. Wilson’s ADP
as a low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 feels like a steal as he should
be able to deliver an excellent floor with a realistic ceiling
of top-five production.
Josh Reynolds, a journeyman WR, is a long shot for fantasy relevance
in 2025. His career best season came back in 2020 with the Rams
when he made 52 catches for 618 yards. He’s never scored
more than five touchdowns in a season, which really limits his
fantasy ceiling as we can’t even hope for him to sneak into
the end zone with any sort of confidence.
With the Jets’ thin WR corps, Reynolds might see snaps
as the WR2, but his history of sub-500-yard seasons and lack of
touchdown production makes him a low-priority fantasy target.
He’s only worth considering in deep leagues if Wilson is
injured, and even then, his upside is probably minimal.
The Tyler Conklin era is over in New York as the Jets look to
revamp their tight end room heading into 2025. It all starts with
second-round NFL Draft pick Mason Taylor. Taylor was the third
tight end off the board in April’s draft, behind Colston
Loveland and Tyler Warren who landed with the Bears and Colts
respectively, but both of those players have significantly more
target competition in their offenses than Taylor.
As of right now, the only real established producer in the Jets’
passing game is Garrett Wilson and while players like Josh Reynolds
will certainly factor into the overall passing attack, there’s
no question that the Jets will be looking for someone to step
up and make some plays to allow Wilson more favorable matchups.
Taylor comes from the high-powered LSU offense where he began
producing right away as a freshman, catching 38 passes for 414
yards back in 2022. While he never really had a truly huge breakout
season, Taylor remained a factor in one of college football’s
most prolific passing attacks while competing for targets with
future NFL superstars like Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr.
Taylor is not a player who fantasy managers should be looking
to draft, but he’s one who we should keep an eye on as the
season progresses. If the Jets passing attack begins to click
it will likely mean that Taylor becomes a factor for fantasy football
this season.